A Deluge of Evidence for the Flood?

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A Deluge of Evidence for the Flood?

Post #1

Post by LittlePig »

otseng wrote:
goat wrote:
otseng wrote:
LittlePig wrote: And I can't think of any reason you would make the comment you made if you weren't suggesting that the find favored your view of a worldwide flood.
Umm, because simply it's a better explanation? And the fact that it's more consistent with the Flood Model doesn't hurt either. ;)
Except, of course, it isn't consistent with a 'Flood Model', since it isn't mixed in with any animals that we know are modern.
Before the rabbits multiply beyond control, I'll just leave my proposal as a rapid burial. Nothing more than that. For this thread, it can just be a giant mud slide.
Since it's still spring time, let's let the rabbits multiply.

Questions for Debate:

1) Does a Global Flood Model provide the best explanation for our current fossil record, geologic formations, and biodiversity?

2) What real science is used in Global Flood Models?

3) What predictions does a Global Flood Model make?

4) Have Global Flood Models ever been subjected to a formal peer review process?
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"Don''t flip ya lid." - Ricky Rankin

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Post #611

Post by otseng »

micatala wrote: From the San Joaquin Geological Society.

This site addresses the question "How to Find Oil?"
Let's bookmark it and we can cover this more later.

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Post #612

Post by micatala »

otseng wrote:
nygreenguy wrote:With that said, I believe the unbroken (why the need for the this?) is just over 10,000 years.
That is what I've read too. I find this interesting. Why should it be limited to around 10,000 years? If trees fossilize, shouldn't there exist a record to go back much farther than that?
The unbroken line given by dendrochronology is not based on fossils, but, as I understand, either living trees or trees that are still preserved well enough (without having been fossilized) that we can see their rings. As I understand, there are bristlecone pine trees alive today that are over 4000 years old. There may be some older trees of other species. I believe there are olive trees in the Garden of Gethsemane that date back to shortly after the 70 A.D. destruction of Jerusalem.

However, it is a reasonable question to ask if one could use fossilized tree rings to assist in dating. Perhaps part of what is happening is that the "live tree" dendrochronologies are necessarily based on trees that are on the surface. Those that are already fossilized are much older and were at one time under water.

Some trees might currently be undergoing fossilization but these would also be under water. If we could locate them under the surface, perhaps we could use this "in the process of fossilization" trees to extend the tree timeline back much further.

One question that it would be nice to have an answer to is how long a tree on the surface can maintain enough structural integrity for its rings to be discernible. I assume for some trees it could be some thousands of years, which is why we do have a timeline going back 10,000 years.
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Post #613

Post by otseng »

micatala wrote:http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/icecores.html

This link provides some additional background on ice core dating techniques in general, and on the Vostok ice core in particular.
Many claims have been made so far of how old the ice cores are. But, let's go the fundamentals first and see how ice cores are dated.

From the above link, there are four main methods:
1. Counting of Annual Layers
2. Using Pre-Determined Ages as Markers
3. Radioactive Dating of Gaseous Inclusions
4. Ice Flow Calculations

Visual counting of layers seems to me the most objective method. However again, this assumes that layers are annual. Also, it requires a significant amount of precipitation to form a distinguishable layer. This would also apply to isotope counting for a layer. Also, really the only place with enough snowfall to form thick layers is in Greenland.

The disadvantage of pre-determined markers is "that if the predetermined age markers are incorrect than the age assigned to the ice-core will also be incorrect."

With radioactive dating of gas, I need more information on this. It seems to say that you can do C14 dating of gas. But, C14 dating is only applied to organic material. And how does measuring the amount of Chlorine-36 determine how old something is?

For ice flow calcuations, "this is the most inaccurate of the methods used for dating ice-cores. First one must calculate how the thickness of the annual layer changes with depth. After this one must make some assumptions of the original thickness of the annual layer to be dated (i.e. the amount of precipitation that fell on the area in a year). "

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Post #614

Post by micatala »

otseng wrote:
nygreenguy wrote:You talk about assumtion, but you are making some of your own. You assume we cant tell non-annual layers. You assume we cant tell when it melts.
From what I can tell, it is assumed that layers are formed annually. I don't see anywhere that they even try to distinguish if layers are subannual.
As the ice forms from the incremental buildup of annual layers of snow, lower layers are older than upper, and an ice core contains ice formed over a range of years. (emphasis mine)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ice_cores
This is addressed in some of the information I provided.

One answer to this is that we can observe today how the layers form and so we know that the layers we see forming now are annual.

A second answer is that we can check the dates given by ice cores against other events for which we have independent dating mechanisms. Volcanic eruptions would be one example of this. Even though we haven't been observing ice layer formation in real time for more than a few years, we do know the specific year of a number of volcanic eruptions and evidence of these has been found in the ice layers at the appropriate point.

A third answer is that errors, whether created by mutliple rings or another mechanism, are accounted for as evidenced by the margins of errors provided in at least some contexts. For example, the information I provided for Greenland indicated an age of 160,000 years plus or minus 15,000 years.

A fourth answer is that we can check correlation of different ice cores, either from the same region or from across the globe. Now, I allow that an exceptionally warm year would likely affect the whole earth and all the ice sheets. But this by itself would not necessarily create multiple layers in one year. It seems to me what you would need would be an unseasonal warm spell in the cold season or cold spell in the warm season. This would not necessarily affect the whole world but is more likely to be a more local phenomenon and so would not necessarily affect all the ice fields similarly, especially those on different sides of the equator.

It seems to me in the face of this, the burden is on those who claim multiple layers might be somehow common to show evidence for this, and not mere speculation.

Keep in mind that, given the dating on some of the Antarctic cores, we would need an average of 4 or 5 layers or more per year for many tens of thousands of years to get a date down to even close to the 100,000 year window you postulate for the flood.


Also, note that the information provided on all these cores indicates that the ice formed above ground, exposed to the atmosphere. No indication of infilitration of salt or other evidence of being submerged has been indicated, and clearly if this were the case it would be huge news.



Unless you can come up with some mechanism for forming many multiple layers over long periods, and evidence that this mechanism was in operation for significant periods of time in the past, I really can't see any other reasonable conclusion than there was no flood in the past 100,000 years that covered these ice sheets.

Even if we don't know the dates on the sheets, we can say there was no flood while the layers were forming in these sheets, so whatever the dates are, they provide a lower limit on when a global flood could have occurred.
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Post #615

Post by micatala »

otseng wrote:
micatala wrote:http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/icecores.html

This link provides some additional background on ice core dating techniques in general, and on the Vostok ice core in particular.
Many claims have been made so far of how old the ice cores are. But, let's go the fundamentals first and see how ice cores are dated.

From the above link, there are four main methods:
1. Counting of Annual Layers
2. Using Pre-Determined Ages as Markers
3. Radioactive Dating of Gaseous Inclusions
4. Ice Flow Calculations

Visual counting of layers seems to me the most objective method. However again, this assumes that layers are annual. Also, it requires a significant amount of precipitation to form a distinguishable layer. This would also apply to isotope counting for a layer. Also, really the only place with enough snowfall to form thick layers is in Greenland.

The disadvantage of pre-determined markers is "that if the predetermined age markers are incorrect than the age assigned to the ice-core will also be incorrect."

With radioactive dating of gas, I need more information on this. It seems to say that you can do C14 dating of gas. But, C14 dating is only applied to organic material. And how does measuring the amount of Chlorine-36 determine how old something is?

For ice flow calcuations, "this is the most inaccurate of the methods used for dating ice-cores. First one must calculate how the thickness of the annual layer changes with depth. After this one must make some assumptions of the original thickness of the annual layer to be dated (i.e. the amount of precipitation that fell on the area in a year). "
I would agree that visual (and chemical) inspection layers seems to be the most reliable of the four methods. By chemical inspection, I refer to molecules from the atmosphere or differences in the actual ice from the warm to the cold season.

I would say to focus on this one mechanism as I think, especially for more stationary ice fields like those in Antarctica or mid-island on Greenland, that is the method of choice anyway.

Now, on the possibility of no layer forming because no precipitation occurred, this would lead to underestimates of the age, the opposite of any multiple layer per year phenomena.

As far as precipition levels, I am not sure it is fair to say that only Greenland has sufficient precipitation to form discernible layers. Obviously there are many thousands of feet of ice over land areas in the Antarctic. How did all of it get there without being precipitated? And again, if there were a paucity of snowfall during a given year or even a long stretch of years, this is only going to make the problem worse for you in the sense that the lower layers would be even older than a counting of rings would indicate.
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Post #616

Post by Goat »

otseng wrote:
goat wrote:Of course, in the antarctic, a 500,000 year old ice core has been extracted. This
far exceeds the 100,000 year limit you gave on the global flood. Iceland has some ice cores that go back to almost 125,000 years.. so that to exceeds your claims.

http://www.ens-newswire.com/ens/mar2002 ... -14-04.asp
The article makes the claim, but does not provide reasoning or evidence to back the claim. So, it does not provide much. We can explore though the techniques on dating ice cores that should apply to this location as well as all others.
It is, of course , a news report.

Do you want me to get a copy of the scholarly peer reviewed article?? If I did, and it backed up it's evidence, what would you do?

I still would like any evidence for any of your claims. I have seen pictures that say "This is predicted by the FM', but what I don't see is HOW it is predicted. Where are the mathematical formulas, the calculations of the stress involved, and any kind of prediction based on the geological history of any region?


FOr the 500K year ice core, here is an article that is a little meatier, and presents the data and anaylsis.
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v4 ... 02599.html
“What do you think science is? There is nothing magical about science. It is simply a systematic way for carefully and thoroughly observing nature and using consistent logic to evaluate results. So which part of that exactly do you disagree with? Do you disagree with being thorough? Using careful observation? Being systematic? Or using consistent logic?�

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Post #617

Post by micatala »

goat wrote:
otseng wrote:
goat wrote:Of course, in the antarctic, a 500,000 year old ice core has been extracted. This
far exceeds the 100,000 year limit you gave on the global flood. Iceland has some ice cores that go back to almost 125,000 years.. so that to exceeds your claims.

http://www.ens-newswire.com/ens/mar2002 ... -14-04.asp
The article makes the claim, but does not provide reasoning or evidence to back the claim. So, it does not provide much. We can explore though the techniques on dating ice cores that should apply to this location as well as all others.
It is, of course , a news report.

Do you want me to get a copy of the scholarly peer reviewed article?? If I did, and it backed up it's evidence, what would you do?

I still would like any evidence for any of your claims. I have seen pictures that say "This is predicted by the FM', but what I don't see is HOW it is predicted. Where are the mathematical formulas, the calculations of the stress involved, and any kind of prediction based on the geological history of any region?


FOr the 500K year ice core, here is an article that is a little meatier, and presents the data and anaylsis.
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v4 ... 02599.html
Just as a note, this is the same article cited by scotracer in Post #600 on the previous page.
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Post #618

Post by nygreenguy »

otseng wrote:
nygreenguy wrote:You talk about assumtion, but you are making some of your own. You assume we cant tell non-annual layers. You assume we cant tell when it melts.
From what I can tell, it is assumed that layers are formed annually. I don't see anywhere that they even try to distinguish if layers are subannual.
As the ice forms from the incremental buildup of annual layers of snow, lower layers are older than upper, and an ice core contains ice formed over a range of years. (emphasis mine)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ice_cores
perhaps this is because it would be easy to tell? Its often a criticism of dendrochronology that double rings give a false large reading when the reality is false rings are physiologically different than true rings and are easily caught and accounted for. Same goes for ice cores (except not physiology, but physical)

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Post #619

Post by nygreenguy »

otseng wrote:
nygreenguy wrote:With that said, I believe the unbroken (why the need for the this?) is just over 10,000 years.
That is what I've read too. I find this interesting. Why should it be limited to around 10,000 years? If trees fossilize, shouldn't there exist a record to go back much farther than that?
It does, its just broken. You asked for the "unbroken".

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Post #620

Post by otseng »

nygreenguy wrote:
otseng wrote:
nygreenguy wrote:With that said, I believe the unbroken (why the need for the this?) is just over 10,000 years.
That is what I've read too. I find this interesting. Why should it be limited to around 10,000 years? If trees fossilize, shouldn't there exist a record to go back much farther than that?
It does, its just broken. You asked for the "unbroken".
Yes, I asked for unbroken so that we can get an absolute date for the tree rings. If it was broken, there would obviously be no way we can give a date for them based solely on tree rings.

Let's go back a step. What trees do they use to make an unbroken sequence back to 10,000 years? Do they include fossilized trees? Do they include "well-preserved, but not fossilized trees" as micatala proposed?

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