Are agnostics more reasonable than atheists?

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otseng
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Are agnostics more reasonable than atheists?

Post #1

Post by otseng »

AgnosticBoy wrote: I'll go ahead and say because of this the agnostic would be more reasonable than an atheist, in the same way atheists think they are more reasonable than Christians. The reason for this is not because of agnostics being all-knowing or arrogant, but rather it's because the PRINCIPLE that agnostics live by. Again, the principle of applying logic and evidence standard to ALL areas would mean that we use REASON more than the atheists that only applies it to matters of religion.
For debate:
Are agnostics more reasonable than atheists?

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Post #161

Post by AgnosticBoy »

Danmark wrote: Rather than rely on a partisan screed, I'll go with the experts. The Lancet is just one example.

"The COVID-19 pandemic continues to worsen in the USA with 1·3 million cases and an estimated death toll of 80 684 as of May 12. States that were initially the hardest hit, such as New York and New Jersey, have decelerated the rate of infections and deaths after the implementation of 2 months of lockdown."
....
In the decades following its founding in 1946, the CDC became a national pillar of public health and globally respected. . . CDC support was instrumental in helping WHO to eradicate smallpox. However, funding to the CDC for a long time has been subject to conservative politics that have increasingly eroded the agency's ability to mount effective, evidence-based public health responses.
....
Americans must put a president in the White House come January, 2021, who will understand that public health should not be guided by partisan politics."
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanc ... 5/fulltext
I'm trying to understand their standard.

Is not "worsening" simply about having no increase in deaths at all? Has any country achieved that, especially if no one has completely eradicated the disease from their country? I assume until they eradicate the disease, it will be out there for people to get infected and potentially die from it.

Also, is the increase in infections simply a result of more testing being done? In other words, more people had it than what the numbers said at one point, but we weren't detecting them until our testing increased.

America also has an increase rate of "recovery", much more than deaths. Does that count as any improvement or are these "experts" only focused on the negatives? If so that sounds pretty political or biased.


Instead of just quoting the experts, I hope you can also argue their case in light of my questions.

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Post #162

Post by Danmark »

AgnosticBoy wrote:
Instead of just quoting the experts, I hope you can also argue their case in light of my questions.
In matters requiring technical expertise, I'll go with the experts. I am not going to debate the fine points of why people who claim the Earth is flat, or why some believe in creationism or a young Earth, or those non experts who want to argue we can ignore the protocols that virtually all health experts agree upon.

Experience has shown me that debating such folk is an eternal battle and a waste of time as they appear to just want to debate rather than entertain clear answers. I end up having to educate them re: basic principles and knowledge. I find it tedious. If you wish to debate the value of the wheel, or reinvent it, you will do so with my contribution.

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Post #163

Post by AgnosticBoy »

Danmark wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:
Instead of just quoting the experts, I hope you can also argue their case in light of my questions.
In matters requiring technical expertise, I'll go with the experts. I am not going to debate the fine points of why people who claim the Earth is flat, or why some believe in creationism or a young Earth, or those non experts who want to argue we can ignore the protocols that virtually all health experts agree upon.

Experience has shown me that debating such folk is an eternal battle and a waste of time as they appear to just want to debate rather than entertain clear answers. I end up having to educate them re: basic principles and knowledge. I find it tedious. If you wish to debate the value of the wheel, or reinvent it, you will do so with my contribution.
All members should be here arguing their case rather than parroting what some expert says. The expert is not here to defend himself. Some experts disagree with other experts. What matters in a DEBATE is evidence and YOU arguing it out. I challenged your experts so now YOU need to answer for it.

Also, you dodged my point about recoveries (you dodged all of my questions in fact). Your narrative is that everything is going bad. Did you know that the US leads the world in covid-19 "recoveries"? Now the recoveries surpass that of deaths. Is that a positive or is that part of the "worsening"?

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Post #164

Post by Bust Nak »

AgnosticBoy wrote: Are you bothered by the fact that you don't even meet the lower standard?
I would be, if that was actually a fact.
why did you resort to using your liberal beliefs on multiple occasions in a DEBATE?
They are only beliefs by the usual definition of beliefs, but they are not beliefs by your standard..
You won't have a choice because I won't give any answers when I suspect you know the answers.
You do you, not giving me answers won't necessarily make me not ask questions.
You wanted me to get to the point when it came to the different meanings of "beliefs" and even complained that I didn't do that from the start, so lets try to be consistent and "straightforward" as you called yourself.
I didn't call myself straight forward though. It's not my style.
It's easier show in a debate. When you are presented with a claim that lacks logic and evidence, I suspend judgement. How is that unworkable?
You don't even have a basis for using logic and evidence without axioms.
You mean you listen to the experts that agree with you. Did you know that other experts were suggesting otherwise?
Of course there are outlier.
Did you evaluate the evidence yourself instead of just "listening" to someone tell you the evidence?
Nah.
Did you consider that their problem-solving ability is only as good as their focus?
Yes.
In other words, their not saying my plan wouldn't work, but rather they didn't even focus on it at all?
Doesn't matter whether it would work or not. It's more risky then the consensus.
You're the one that brought up desires. I simply pointed out that I was able to formulate a covid-19 view that is built on logic and evidence. That shows it can be done, so I'm not sure why you couldn't do it.
Because it's not just a matter of logic and evidence.
Some areas are and some aren't. But I certainly don't claim that the UNPROVEN areas are true and use that in a DEBATE like your "equal suffering" view (it's odd that you would actually make someone suffer when they have an option not to but that's another story). I certainly wouldn't cling to the UNPROVEN areas when there is available logic and evidence for that area. On several occasions you've clung to your ideologies and beliefs, when evidence was available.
Like what?
Oh, you don't like questions now when they're not your own and prove a point. Another double standard.
That's not a double standard. I address all valid questions.
At least, you're acknowledging your errors but you can't blame me for asking if politics played a role given this is a heated political issue and you're a liberal afterall.
I am not blaming you for asking if politics played a role.
The statement that we should have a good economy is an opinion but not mine, of course.
You are still not addressing my point.
Perhaps the 3 laws of "thought" might give you a hint on what can be "thought" of?!
They are laws for us rational people.
So now you admit that I have a point.
Not much of a point when it's not contested.
You're now saying that someone can believe in an incoherent statement if it's derived from a contradiction.
I've said that from the beginning.
That's a different statement than what you said earlier when you suggested without any qualification, that someone can have incoherent beliefs.
How is "someone can believe in an incoherent statement derived from a contradiction" different from "someone can have incoherent beliefs?"
I'm telling you that can't be done. My support for that are the laws of thought and my own experience. You admitted that you don't know how someone would hold contradictory views so how can you say that it involves combining two opposing concepts as opposed to keeping them separate by having two separate beliefs?
Because that's what they say they are doing.
You already conceded to my point starting at post #2 of this thread. The mess started with your 50 million questions which only resulting in.showing that one of my views was hypothetical. Wow, that one really hurts my case! But now when it comes to me examining your views , and not just by asking questions, but actually presenting logic and evidence to expose your ideology, falsehoods, and shifts in position, now you don't like it. Like I said, that's hypocritical.
I like it just fine. I have no problem answering your challenges.
What are you referring to as false? The axioms of logic in the scientific method?
No. I am not referring to any particular axiom. I am saying axioms can only ensure truth if they are themselves true.
Is it the best tool that we have for knowledge?
Depends on what you call knowledge. By my standard, yes.
From his perspective it might be a desire, but God's desire is not the same as your desire.
That's good enough for me - there is no need without desire.
Do you agree that I can breathe regardless of if I desire it or not?
Yes. Whether you can breathe or not has nothing to do with needs.
But even in a non-theistic universe, purpose could just simply apply to all of biology and not physics. It is very common for us to hear scientists talkin about the needs of the body or physiological needs. Your limititation is arbitrary when it comes to the concept of needs.
When scientists talking about the needs of the body, they are speaking with respect to its functionality. The body doesn't need to function.
Well again, one point that supports my view is a theistic universe.
That already went down the drain when you accepted that God has desires.
But let's look at biology also. Biology may not have a mind to ponder about life but we cannot deny that it has put things in place to function towards a particular end.
Sure we can. Ends are prescribed. Biology doesn't care one way or the other if life functions or not. It cannot care.
For instance, heart and the lungs work together to keep our body oxygenated. Oxygen is required or is a need for the body.
But your body does not need to work.
Again, God's desire is not equivalent to your desire.
That's moot when God's desire is desire.
God.
Well there you go - there is no need without desire.
If you asks what then I can say biology. Biology leaves us with rules and our bodies work towards that particular end.
Whose end?
Meant can exist with a purpose. The heart has a purpose or function, does it not?
Sure, but that doesn't get you to a "meant" without a corresponding intent.
I don't have any beliefs when it comes to politics, religions, and philosophy and other areas that only intellect can be applied.
That was not what you were asked to do. I asked you to affirm that you have personal beliefs when it comes areas outside of those where only intellect can be applied.
Start by referring to your own post, post #2.
Okay, that much is easy to agree to. I find myself very agreeable.
The point of keeping people indoors was to prevent infection. But now that we know that even that can be dangerous then that undercuts the Democrat governors point that they are protecting the citizens from infection by keeping them indoors.
Still not seeing how that undercuts Democrat governors if it's less dangerous indoors.
You still want the economy shutdown while also admitting that keeping it shut, by keeping people indoors, can also spread infection. Remember the goal is to reduce damages to the economy while keeping the death count low. How would limiting everyone to essential areas help the economy, let alone stop the spread?
Wait a minute. Does reducing damage to the economy mean the same thing to you as helping the economy? Does keeping the death count low mean the same thing to you as stopping the spread? They don't sound like the same thing.
In the most extreme case, what I'm asking is why keep the economy shut if everybody's going to get infected anyway?
Less people are going to get infected.
it just seems you want to keep it shut down no matter what. Just because many people are anti Trump and don't want to see him succeed that doesnt mean you get the tear down the country and take everybody else with you.
I think that's your personal belief speaking again.
It's tough but it can be done. It's tough to also isolate people indoors but apparently that can be done. So clearly being tough is not a standard to not do it.
Depends on how tough.
You're not risking the health of the low risk population that don't have any underlying diseases. If the options are to risk having a runny nose vs. economic damage, then of course I would choose to help the economy. Your thinking only comes from someone who would treat all populations the same way as if the virus affect all groups the same way.
Why? Does the WHO sound like people who thinks the virus affect all groups the same way?
Then you can make adjustments based on what happens. If that started happening on the large-scale then we can act on it then.
I'd rather not risk that.
People usually don't pause that life for risk that they don't even know the chances of it happening. In fact there's more of a case that can be made that the probability of it happening based on other diseases is low.
It also depends on what the possible consequences are.
You should listen to a so-called expert when they are wrong time and time again? I think it's better that people listen but also do their own research.
Flat Earthers do their own research, anti-vaxxers do their own research. So yes, I'd rather listen to experts even as they get stuff wrong time and time again.
Did any of those named doctors say that the system was overwhelmed?
No, they said it's getting close.
Also, was there any data provided to backup any claims of Sweden's hospitals being overwhelmed?
Not that I know of.
So you want him to win even though you don't support him? You don't want any of the democratic candidates to win?
I think you misread that. I what Trump to lose. I want democratic candidates to win.
Did you really mean you hope it doesn't work? (Joking)
My hopes is irrelevant here.
Oh so never mind you dodged the fact that you posted a terrible article that had nothing to do with what you were trying to assert. Hospitals complaining about losing money is not the same thing as them complaining about being overburdened by covid-19 patients.
Admitting that I posted something without reading beyond the title still counts as dodging?
I know you put your faith in them. I suppose the experts in Sweden are wrong, the ones that disagree with you I mean.
Maybe they are, maybe not. Does not change the fact that they are the minority and taking a higher risk.
A republican would say the same thing. They can't both be right!
Why not? They are not completely without sense.
This is your debate. So now you have to back up what they're saying with evidence. Stop quoting poor articles. In fact you should be posting the exact information in the article instead of sending me on wild goose chases .
Or I can just stick to listening to experts. I never wanted to debate this to begin with. This thread is about whether you have beliefs or not.
Let's play the what if game since you do that with the virus and me being re-infected. So what if the economy collapses?
Then we start again from scratch.
So you're not even willing to follow your own standard but yet you want the government to impose everyone else to follow that standard?
No. I am willing to follow my own standard and I want the government to impose everyone else to also follow that standard.
Your socialist opinion is is dismissed. the goal is to open the economy while limiting covid-19 deaths. That's what the governor's are saying. The not saying they want to spread the suffering around.
Right. That's what I am saying.
To think that someone would make someone suffer when that person has the option of not suffering, I wonder what would be the implications for that when it comes to the problem of evil.
Wonder no more. It is zero implications without omnipotence.
Uh oh. It doesn't sound like a good idea when not even you live up to that standard, right?
Why? I think it sounds great.
It could be if all actions were based on logic and evidence and not politics and power.
We've been though this. This is not possible, we logic and evidence can only inform us on how to achieve our goals. You cannot generate goals based solely on logic and evidence.
But the goal is to limit covid-19 deaths, not limit infection spread. In other words you can have one without the other.
You think having more hospitalisation doesn't translate to more death?
The flu has has a higher rate of hospitalization then covid-19.
You mean higher raw number, right? The WHO article you posted says covid-19 has a higher rate. That's why we don't close down for the flu.
11 is one more than 10. So let's shut down the hospitals because we're going to see a little increase. Yeah that's such an "overburden" to the hospitals.
Well, the experts don't think it's worth the risk.
You don't need to compare to the flu to make the point that the majority of the people who get covid-19 will not need hospitalization. That's why I posted those percentages.
Not much of a point. We need to compare to the flu to make the point that our response to Covid-19 is not proportionate to the response to the flu.
Well if you were worried about the speed of transmission, then your point is not proven based on my source.
The reproductive rate is not a constant number. It is actually very context-specific which is why different countries have different reproductive rate numbers. You said the reproductive number was 2.5. Can you tell me if that was referring to our country or was it referring to one particular state.
No idea what it is where I live.
For instance would the state of Montana have a lower reproductive rate of infection then say the state of New York given that there's less population density?

Let's look at Germany?
Germany's reproduction rate for the novel coronavirus has dipped back below the key threshold of 1, the country's center for disease control said today.

The so-called R0 had been above 1 for three consecutive days -- a sign the disease may have been expanding rather than being pushed back.
CNN
An R0 of 1 is much lower than the 2.5 figure you mentioned in your last post, correct?
Sure, it maybe okay for Germany to dial down the restrictions.

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Post #165

Post by AgnosticBoy »

Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote: Are you bothered by the fact that you don't even meet the lower standard?
I would be, if that was actually a fact.
I only interpret that to mean that you are not bothered by it which means you're okay with not meeting the lower standard. That's the only interpretation given the fact that you have presented your BELIEFS for support in a DEBATE. Refer to the next response below for examples.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote: why did you resort to using your liberal beliefs on multiple occasions in a DEBATE?
They are only beliefs by the usual definition of beliefs, but they are not beliefs by your standard..
Was one of your responses that the governors did not have the goal to open the economy while limiting deaths, not an opinion?

Is it not an opinion, that suffering should be equal?
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:You won't have a choice because I won't give any answers when I suspect you know the answers.
You do you, not giving me answers won't necessarily make me not ask questions.
And if you do ask, then I will return with a question about you knowing the answer. If you do know the answer, then providing it would be proof of that. No answer = no case proven, or at least as far as you knowing the answer.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:You wanted me to get to the point when it came to the different meanings of "beliefs" and even complained that I didn't do that from the start, so lets try to be consistent and "straightforward" as you called yourself.
I didn't call myself straight forward though. It's not my style.
Are you saying that you are not an honest person? I know politicians aren't straightforward for a reason, as well.

Dictionary.com... straightforward: (of a person) honest, frank, and simple.

Given we have plenty of pages on this discussion built on misunderstanding each other, which is part of the "mess" you referred to in your last post, I'd think an efficient route would be a straightforward one. I hope you would commit again to being straightforward .
Previously, you stated the following, "Same as above, yes. I have no problem giving you straight answers." Bust Nak
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:It's easier show in a debate. When you are presented with a claim that lacks logic and evidence, I suspend judgement. How is that unworkable?
You don't even have a basis for using logic and evidence without axioms.
You still apply logic even if you can't prove its axioms.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:You mean you listen to the experts that agree with you. Did you know that other experts were suggesting otherwise?
Of course there are outlier.
So lets just believe all of the NT scholars who tell us that Jesus exist. We can avoid Richard Carrier and other mythicists since they are "outliers". I'm applying your standard.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Did you evaluate the evidence yourself instead of just "listening" to someone tell you the evidence?
Nah.
Thank you for admitting this. You accept something as true because someone told you as opposed to digging into the details yourself. That's no different than what atheists accuse Christians of doing when Christians accept someone's words as truth. That doesn't fit in with the type of agnostic I brought up in post 1.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:In other words, their not saying my plan wouldn't work, but rather they didn't even focus on it at all?
Doesn't matter whether it would work or not. It's more risky then the consensus.
First, it does matter whether or not my plan would work. That's why you and other liberal Democrats on this site have spent countless of pages across different discussion areas trying to show me how it doesn't work. Now that I'm beating you on the facts, and your "experts" aren't here to debate for you, then you want to say "it does not matter". What a complete cop-out.

Second, be honest with the people. Governors and experts have publicly said that their goal is to open the economy while limiting covid-19 deaths. My plan would do that. There's risk or problems associated with every plan but the main risk people are concerned about is DEATH and not a runny nose. If many people weren't dying all at once then this virus wouldn't have been as scary. Like an anxious person, you seem to want every single risk alleviated, and I'm talking about risks that I know there is no expert "consensus" on, like your fear that the virus will return or that we won't be immune from it as you suggested earlier. So much for going by a real risk assessment from expert consensus! Again my plan would keep deaths very low. It could've been implemented from the time that we started noticing patterns in the data regarding the severity of symptoms and mortality. Your plan increases the risk that the economy will crash, given the fact that the longer it stays shutdown, then the more damage it will incur.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:You're the one that brought up desires. I simply pointed out that I was able to formulate a covid-19 view that is built on logic and evidence. That shows it can be done, so I'm not sure why you couldn't do it.
Because it's not just a matter of logic and evidence.
But that doesn't give you an excuse to not apply reason to the fullest extent that it could be applied. Taking shortcuts by mixing in your beliefs, especially in a DEBATE, is not applying reason in areas that it could be applied.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Some areas are and some aren't. But I certainly don't claim that the UNPROVEN areas are true and use that in a DEBATE like your "equal suffering" view (it's odd that you would actually make someone suffer when they have an option not to but that's another story). I certainly wouldn't cling to the UNPROVEN areas when there is available logic and evidence for that area. On several occasions you've clung to your ideologies and beliefs, when evidence was available.
Like what?
You were wrong on the goal of governments and on the hospitalization rate for the flu vs. covid-19. You even offered a socialist view as support for your case and then you want to dispute with me about avoiding beliefs.

Keep in mind again, that even in areas where logic and evidence doesn't cover that I reman agnostic. If an ideology is not supported by logic and evidence entirely, then I avoid it as opposed to accepting the non-proven parts. That is one thing that separates you from me, or an agnostic from an atheist.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Oh, you don't like questions now when they're not your own and prove a point. Another double standard.
That's not a double standard. I address all valid questions.
Going by what "experts" say instead of also checking on their evidence (or attacking me for at least doing so) is a double standard if you expect Christians to go by EVIDENCE and not simply what someone says.

But oddly enough, do you accept the experts who say that Jesus did exist? On what basis do you reject them, assuming you do? Evidence, correct? No different than what I'm doing on the issue of covid-19.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Perhaps the 3 laws of "thought" might give you a hint on what can be "thought" of?!
They are laws for us rational people.
Only rational people have "thoughts"? Can an irrational person actually conceive of something that involves combining two opposing concepts?
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:You're now saying that someone can believe in an incoherent statement if it's derived from a contradiction.
I've said that from the beginning.
Perhaps you intended that from the beginning but didn't state it, at least not consistently. I've shown that by quoting your statements. That's why you should've been straightforward in answering my question about
akdjfklajdfklajdfklj;fa when I asked you if that example involved a contradiction.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:That's a different statement than what you said earlier when you suggested without any qualification, that someone can have incoherent beliefs.
How is "someone can believe in an incoherent statement derived from a contradiction" different from "someone can have incoherent beliefs?"
Well when you don't qualify your statements until AFTER I expose a problem with it can you blame me for questioning you? The statement I quoted mentions nothing about a contradiction. I pointed that out to you already.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:I'm telling you that can't be done. My support for that are the laws of thought and my own experience. You admitted that you don't know how someone would hold contradictory views so how can you say that it involves combining two opposing concepts as opposed to keeping them separate by having two separate beliefs?
Because that's what they say they are doing.
Show me where a person specified how they're holding their contradictory beliefs - two separate beliefs as opposed to one belief that combines opposing concepts. Do you accept the 3 laws of "thought" and take that to consider that they don't really have a belief even if they say they do (w/ the exception of holding the opposing views as two separate beliefs)? Do you have any scientific verification to show how or why that can happen?
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:From his perspective it might be a desire, but God's desire is not the same as your desire.
That's good enough for me - there is no need without desire.
From our perspective, there can be needs without desires. For instance, our bodies have needs and they are independent of our (humans) desires.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Do you agree that I can breathe regardless of if I desire it or not?
Yes. Whether you can breathe or not has nothing to do with needs.
Breathing goes with the physiological need of the body to function. Do you at least agree that the body can not survive without oxygen?
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Well again, one point that supports my view is a theistic universe.
That already went down the drain when you accepted that God has desires.
Not sure what you mean here. I've shown that our body has needs. Even by your standard it is a need because you said a need has to be a required by a person or being - that being is God. And it's not as if it's based on just God's desire. God could've implemented his desire by making it part the design. God could've made it so that evolution is based on survival. But even if God doesn't exist, evolution is about survival. Even viruses work to survive. So the actions they take to do that are the requirements (or needs).
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:But let's look at biology also. Biology may not have a mind to ponder about life but we cannot deny that it has put things in place to function towards a particular end.
Sure we can. Ends are prescribed. Biology doesn't care one way or the other if life functions or not. It cannot care.
Sure, biology doesn't "care", but its undeniable that it functions towards an end which is to survive. That is a defining characteristic of "life". Even viruses reproduce which is part of survival.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:For instance, heart and the lungs work together to keep our body oxygenated. Oxygen is required or is a need for the body.
But your body does not need to work.
That is your "opinion" but not biology. Besides that, your point is invalid if we're in a theistic Universe. Your "desire" is not God's desire. You can have God's desire without your desire being involved. He sets up biology to function towards an end as an implementation of his desire, and that takes place regardless of your desire.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Meant can exist with a purpose. The heart has a purpose or function, does it not?
Sure, but that doesn't get you to a "meant" without a corresponding intent.
You don't need intent. All you need is a purpose. Just ask yourself, what does the heart do? It functions to keep the body functioning. Just because our heart doesn't understand anything, doesn't mean it doesn't work towards a particular end.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:I don't have any beliefs when it comes to politics, religions, and philosophy and other areas that only intellect can be applied.
That was not what you were asked to do. I asked you to affirm that you have personal beliefs when it comes areas outside of those where only intellect can be applied.
Here is my general perspective on life and beliefs. The notion that you can't apply reason to all areas is false because even in the areas where you can't apply it you can just remain an agnostic. By remaining agnostic you're also being reason-based since you're not accepting (belief or otherwise) anything as true until the logic and evidence comes in.

Despite that fact, I have beliefs because I want to function in life to the extent I can have good relations with family and friends and even in causal settings. Of course, I have little concern for verifying what's really true when I'm having fun. These types of beliefs that I do hold are simple as opposed to being part of a complete package of ideas or ideologies. This is why I call myself non-ideological (at least in terms of UNPROVEN ideologies). My beliefs are also oftentimes weak and on mundane things, like believing the trash company will pickup my trash the next day. Outside of this personal context, I choose to be a pit bull when it comes to applying the agnostic standard. I do not hold any beliefs when it comes to politics, philosophy, and religion.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:The point of keeping people indoors was to prevent infection. But now that we know that even that can be dangerous then that undercuts the Democrat governors point that they are protecting the citizens from infection by keeping them indoors.
Still not seeing how that undercuts Democrat governors if it's less dangerous indoors.
You're seeing it which is why you shifted the standard from "no" danger of catching the virus if you stay indoors to "less" danger. When governments are making decisions based on what would contain the virus, then my point matters because if lockdowns don't work as good as people thought, then obviously the plan needs to be readjusted. Not ADMITTING that would lead to a false sense of security. Last I checked it was California that instituted the first state-wide lockdown. They were praised by officials as they saw a low infection rate (at least, as reported). But if they were factoring compliance to the lockdown orders in their stats like New York did, then they might also find like New York that a big percentage of the infected were those who complied with the stay-at-home orders. But we don't have to rely on just that factor since antibody tests would also give us a fuller picture on the rate of infection, as opposed to just testing those who have symptoms.

I've already found two different antibody studies done in California and of course the number infection cases are not what Californian officials reported.
The actual number of infections from COVID-19 in Los Angeles County may be as high as 55 times the current number of confirmed positive cases, according to preliminary results from antibody tests conducted as part of a joint venture between the University of Southern California and the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health.
https://abcnews.go.com/Health/results-a ... d=70249753

So yes, this is a valid reason to question the effectiveness of lockdowns and it undercuts those who think they were doing a good job because of it, esp. those Democrat governors who are the main advocates for keeping it going longer.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:You still want the economy shutdown while also admitting that keeping it shut, by keeping people indoors, can also spread infection. Remember the goal is to reduce damages to the economy while keeping the death count low. How would limiting everyone to essential areas help the economy, let alone stop the spread?
Wait a minute. Does reducing damage to the economy mean the same thing to you as helping the economy? Does keeping the death count low mean the same thing to you as stopping the spread? They don't sound like the same thing.
Well one leads to the other. Reducing economic lockdown helps the economy.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:In the most extreme case, what I'm asking is why keep the economy shut if everybody's going to get infected anyway?
Less people are going to get infected.
I'm not sure how much less given that the effectiveness of lockdowns are in question. To bring in some of my other points, I can also say that being infected presents little to no danger to the low risk population. This is why I say the goal could be refocused on isolating them from the high risk population as opposed to lockdowns on everyone. My plan helps the economy while keeping death counts low which again is the goal.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:It's tough but it can be done. It's tough to also isolate people indoors but apparently that can be done. So clearly being tough is not a standard to not do it.
Depends on how tough.
It's being done now so apparently working family members can socially distance from other family members. We'd be hearing it from our healthcare workers by now if they weren't able to find a way to socially distance from their families. If they can do it, I'm sure a lot of others can.

Just think of ways to make it work rather than automatically jumping to the negatives. Remember, the goal is to improve things, rather than staying stuck on the doom and gloom.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:You're not risking the health of the low risk population that don't have any underlying diseases. If the options are to risk having a runny nose vs. economic damage, then of course I would choose to help the economy. Your thinking only comes from someone who would treat all populations the same way as if the virus affect all groups the same way.
Why? Does the WHO sound like people who thinks the virus affect all groups the same way?
I've referenced WHO reporting that the majority of people will experience MILD symptoms. That's a statement that factors in the low and even HIGH risk populations. So imagine how much more true it is for the low risk population alone?!
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Then you can make adjustments based on what happens. If that started happening on the large-scale then we can act on it then.
I'd rather not risk that.
But "experts" say it is unlikely to happen. It's possible but unlikely. So much for you caring about experts, especially expert "consensus"!

If you don't want to go outside because there is the SLIGHTEST risk for any miniscule of a bad thing happening, then I bode you well. Very few people could live like that which is why the goal is: Open economy while keeping death count low.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:People usually don't pause that life for risk that they don't even know the chances of it happening. In fact there's more of a case that can be made that the probability of it happening based on other diseases is low.
It also depends on what the possible consequences are.
This response doesn't show me that you disagree with my point. I can lend you a hand and just say it for you - ("you agree with my point"?). I know the majority would agree with me if DEATHS weren't an issue. I know that based on how many respond to other diseases.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:You should listen to a so-called expert when they are wrong time and time again? I think it's better that people listen but also do their own research.
Flat Earthers do their own research, anti-vaxxers do their own research. So yes, I'd rather listen to experts even as they get stuff wrong time and time again.
Not so fast. Do you apply that same standard to New Testament scholars who agree that Jesus of the NT was a historical or real person? What is wrong with listening to the experts while also checking their evidence?

If you simply go by what a so called "expert" says, then how would you ever know if they're wrong? What happens when two experts disagree, do you simply "listen" to the one who lines up more with your ideology?

It seems instead of knocking anti-vaxxers, you should be thinking about your own standard. Putting your "faith" in experts is just as dangerous as putting faith in a pastor - both are based on you accepting things without going through the evidence yourself.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Did any of those named doctors say that the system was overwhelmed?
No, they said it's getting close.
What makes it true, them saying so or the evidence?
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Also, was there any data provided to backup any claims of Sweden's hospitals being overwhelmed?
Not that I know of.
So no data, just words. You "read" or "listen" to it, and they're experts so it must be true? Perhaps you are beginning to get my point now.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:So you want him to win even though you don't support him? You don't want any of the democratic candidates to win?
I think you misread that. I what Trump to lose. I want democratic candidates to win.
You want Trump to lose. I appreciate you admitting that given that this matter is a hot political issue.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Oh so never mind you dodged the fact that you posted a terrible article that had nothing to do with what you were trying to assert. Hospitals complaining about losing money is not the same thing as them complaining about being overburdened by covid-19 patients.
Admitting that I posted something without reading beyond the title still counts as dodging?
Oh, if you admit that you in fact did that then I take back my comment on dodging. Reading just the headline or title of an article does NOT count as Research. People on this site, especially moderators, should know this already.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:I know you put your faith in them. I suppose the experts in Sweden are wrong, the ones that disagree with you I mean.
Maybe they are, maybe not. Does not change the fact that they are the minority and taking a higher risk.
A higher risk of what? Deaths? Of damaging the economy even further? There are risks from any side or way you look at it. But I'm willing to bet what people care about most are DEATHS. Take that away or reduce it greatly, then they'll likely overlook it and continue to live life just as they do with other things that involve a risk.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Let's play the what if game since you do that with the virus and me being re-infected. So what if the economy collapses?
Then we start again from scratch.
I wish all of the Democrats were as candid as you. Just let it be known that you'd be willing to destroy the economy for a virus that causes MILD symptoms to the majority of the population. Yep, there goes a balanced RISK assessment/response for you. With expert "consensus" as well?
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:So you're not even willing to follow your own standard but yet you want the government to impose everyone else to follow that standard?
No. I am willing to follow my own standard and I want the government to impose everyone else to also follow that standard.
So why are you still typing? Unplug your computer and give it up to a poor kid that needs to do online classes. Apparently you're not suffering enough when you have many kids suffering while you have time to spend on an unimportant debate site. Give up your computer! And tell Nancy Pelosi to accommodate a few homeless people by letting them stay in her mansion. She's part of the government!
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Your socialist opinion is is dismissed. the goal is to open the economy while limiting covid-19 deaths. That's what the governor's are saying. The not saying they want to spread the suffering around.
Right. That's what I am saying.
Right, and "saying" an opinion repeatedly is not proving it.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:To think that someone would make someone suffer when that person has the option of not suffering, I wonder what would be the implications for that when it comes to the problem of evil.
Wonder no more. It is zero implications without omnipotence.
NOt when you at least have the ability to alleviate some suffering. In fact, it is often times the ones in good positions who are helping the poor. Give people something to look up to, rather than remaining in depression.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Uh oh. It doesn't sound like a good idea when not even you live up to that standard, right?
Why? I think it sounds great.
How "great" can it be seeing that you're still typing?!
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:It could be if all actions were based on logic and evidence and not politics and power.
We've been though this. This is not possible, we logic and evidence can only inform us on how to achieve our goals. You cannot generate goals based solely on logic and evidence.
Then at least let the people know what is belief and what is proven. That's a start. And then we'll see how much of it can or can't really be established by logic and evidence alone.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:But the goal is to limit covid-19 deaths, not limit infection spread. In other words you can have one without the other.
You think having more hospitalisation doesn't translate to more death?
Not necessarily. In fact, the recovery numbers in the US are the highest in the world. Hospitalization can easily translate into recovery. In fact, there goes more of a need for hospitals. They have a reaosn to expand that business even more. You see what happens when you think positively? I'm not saying don't consider the negatives, but it seems that a lot of liberals are just STUCK on the negatives and not thinking how to resolve it.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:The flu has has a higher rate of hospitalization then covid-19.
You mean higher raw number, right? The WHO article you posted says covid-19 has a higher rate. That's why we don't close down for the flu.
Nope, I mean rate. Here is the data and my source:
The overall hospitalization rate in the U.S. for flu this season is about 68 hospitalizations per 100,000 people
...
The overall hospitalization rate for COVID-19 in the U.S. is about 29 hospitalizations per 100,000
https://www.livescience.com/new-coronav ... h-flu.html
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:11 is one more than 10. So let's shut down the hospitals because we're going to see a little increase. Yeah that's such an "overburden" to the hospitals.
Well, the experts don't think it's worth the risk.
You're sounding more and more like a good believer, except it's towards a different "faith". Is it wrong to listen to the experts but also check into their evidence? Is it wrong to also do that while thinking for yourself?

I would hope most atheists want to think for themselves. Imagine the atheists who don't then going on to attack Christians. That would be hypocritical, of course.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:You don't need to compare to the flu to make the point that the majority of the people who get covid-19 will not need hospitalization. That's why I posted those percentages.
Not much of a point. We need to compare to the flu to make the point that our response to Covid-19 is not proportionate to the response to the flu.
The point is that the infection spreading will not be a major problem for the majority of the population since they'll only experience MILD symptoms. As for your other point, it's related to my claim that we don't shut down the economy for viruses that have comparable or even more of a death rate.

According to the CDC, there has been 89,407 covid-19 deaths as of today. Only 2.8% of those are from the low risk population which gives you roughly 2,700 deaths. According to the CDC, the 2018-19 flu season had about 34,200 total deaths. So you don't want to allow my low risk population to go out without restrictions eventhough they have a lower death rate and numbers than that of the flu? In other words, why would you close down the economy for 2,700 deaths and NOT for 34,200 deaths when the latter is much more?

*The death count for covid-19 low risk population would be much lower if you factored in NO underlying chronic disease which the stats don't factor for (w/ the exception of New York which is why I know that makes a difference) when considering age.
Oh, here's more facts to support my point:
During March 1–28, 2020, the overall laboratory-confirmed COVID-19–associated hospitalization rate was 4.6 per 100,000 population; rates increased with age, with the highest rates among adults aged ≥65 years. Approximately 90% of hospitalized patients identified through COVID-NET had one or more underlying conditions, the most common being obesity, hypertension, chronic lung disease, diabetes mellitus, and cardiovascular disease.
Source: CDC

Earlier, I already presented my source for the overall hospitalization rates. They showed a lower hospitalization rate for covid-19 and that's considering ALL populations and not just my low risk population.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Well if you were worried about the speed of transmission, then your point is not proven based on my source.
The reproductive rate is not a constant number. It is actually very context-specific which is why different countries have different reproductive rate numbers. You said the reproductive number was 2.5. Can you tell me if that was referring to our country or was it referring to one particular state.
No idea what it is where I live.
Then your claim so far is not proven about the reproductive rate. I also pointed you to information on the WHO site that mentions the flu spreads faster.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:For instance would the state of Montana have a lower reproductive rate of infection then say the state of New York given that there's less population density?

Let's look at Germany?
Germany's reproduction rate for the novel coronavirus has dipped back below the key threshold of 1, the country's center for disease control said today.

The so-called R0 had been above 1 for three consecutive days -- a sign the disease may have been expanding rather than being pushed back.
CNN
An R0 of 1 is much lower than the 2.5 figure you mentioned in your last post, correct?
Sure, it maybe okay for Germany to dial down the restrictions.
This is the first time you've made a positive comment - you suggesting to actually OPEN the economy as opposed to keeping it closed. This shows me it's possible to overcome the political ideology of a person once they're presented with enough logic and evidence!

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Post #166

Post by Purple Knight »

AgnosticBoy wrote:I would hope most atheists want to think for themselves. Imagine the atheists who don't then going on to attack Christians. That would be hypocritical, of course.
This good enough for you? :)
Purple Knight wrote:My ideal world would have 50% atheists and 50% theists. Then everyone has the exact same level of reinforcement, and as a bonus, nobody falls into believing something because it's what everybody else believes.

Nobody is bullying anybody obviously, but you get a bully effect when most of the world thinks one particular thing and you don't want to. Even if nobody's bugging you. Even if everyone gives you all the respect you could want. You still have to think, "Geez, am I really the only one who can't see the emperor's clothes?"

I also want there to be more flat earthers and more comet-worshipers and more Scientologists. If it means the world is a bit crazy, fine, just nobody kill anybody. I want the crazy world and no pressure to believe a particular thing over another.

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Post #167

Post by Bust Nak »

AgnosticBoy wrote: I only interpret that to mean that you are not bothered by it which means you're okay with not meeting the lower standard. That's the only interpretation given the fact that you have presented your BELIEFS for support in a DEBATE. Refer to the next response below for examples.
Opinion noted.
Was one of your responses that the governors did not have the goal to open the economy while limiting deaths, not an opinion?
No, not by your definition, since it's not accepted as truth.
Is it not an opinion, that suffering should be equal?
Yes, but it's outside of a purely intellectual matter.
And if you do ask, then I will return with a question about you knowing the answer. If you do know the answer, then providing it would be proof of that. No answer = no case proven, or at least as far as you knowing the answer.
Sure, you do you, I have no problem answering questions.
Are you saying that you are not an honest person? I know politicians aren't straightforward for a reason, as well.

Dictionary.com... straightforward: (of a person) honest, frank, and simple.
Somewhat. I like giving people enough rope to hang themselves, that's my style.
Given we have plenty of pages on this discussion built on misunderstanding each other, which is part of the "mess" you referred to in your last post, I'd think an efficient route would be a straightforward one. I hope you would commit again to being straightforward .
Previously, you stated the following, "Same as above, yes. I have no problem giving you straight answers." Bust Nak
Not the same thing as being straight forward. I can be straight with my answers while being tricky with my questions.
You still apply logic even if you can't prove its axioms.
Sure, but the point is, you cannot apply logic to ensure truth without accepting the axioms are true.
So lets just believe all of the NT scholars who tell us that Jesus exist. We can avoid Richard Carrier and other mythicists since they are "outliers". I'm applying your standard.
Sure.
You accept something as true because someone told you as opposed to digging into the details yourself. That's no different than what atheists accuse Christians of doing when Christians accept someone's words as truth. That doesn't fit in with the type of agnostic I brought up in post 1.
First of all, you are forgetting the difference between who we listen to. Secondly, you do the same thing when you quote articles.
First, it does matter whether or not my plan would work. That's why you and other liberal Democrats on this site have spent countless of pages across different discussion areas trying to show me how it doesn't work. Now that I'm beating you on the facts, and your "experts" aren't here to debate for you, then you want to say "it does not matter". What a complete cop-out.
Not me. I am just poking holes at your claim without saying it doesn't work.
Second, be honest with the people. Governors and experts have publicly said that their goal is to open the economy while limiting covid-19 deaths. My plan would do that. There's risk or problems associated with every plan but the main risk people are concerned about is DEATH and not a runny nose. If many people weren't dying all at once then this virus wouldn't have been as scary. Like an anxious person, you seem to want every single risk alleviated, and I'm talking about risks that I know there is no expert "consensus" on, like your fear that the virus will return or that we won't be immune from it as you suggested earlier. So much for going by a real risk assessment from expert consensus!
Those are not my fear, I am fit and healthy, my risk is low.
Again my plan would keep deaths very low. It could've been implemented from the time that we started noticing patterns in the data regarding the severity of symptoms and mortality. Your plan increases the risk that the economy will crash, given the fact that the longer it stays shutdown, then the more damage it will incur.
Sure, which is why I keep telling you, you simple have different standard when it comes to acceptable risk.
But that doesn't give you an excuse to not apply reason to the fullest extent that it could be applied. Taking shortcuts by mixing in your beliefs, especially in a DEBATE, is not applying reason in areas that it could be applied.
That's moot since I only applying reason in areas that it could be applied. My beliefs applies only in areas where reason alone is not enough.
You were wrong on the goal of governments and on the hospitalization rate for the flu vs. covid-19.
No, I am not wrong on that. Got another example?
You even offered a socialist view as support for your case and then you want to dispute with me about avoiding beliefs.
There is no avoiding beliefs there, since that is not a matter of pure reasoning.
Keep in mind again, that even in areas where logic and evidence doesn't cover that I reman agnostic. If an ideology is not supported by logic and evidence entirely, then I avoid it as opposed to accepting the non-proven parts. That is one thing that separates you from me, or an agnostic from an atheist.
That's not actually different though, since the non-proven parts are areas outside of pure reasoning.
Going by what "experts" say instead of also checking on their evidence (or attacking me for at least doing so) is a double standard if you expect Christians to go by EVIDENCE and not simply what someone says.
That's not a double standard. We simply insist that they meet ours. See above for the difference.
But oddly enough, do you accept the experts who say that Jesus did exist?
Of course.
On what basis do you reject them, assuming you do? Evidence, correct? No different than what I'm doing on the issue of covid-19.
n/a
Only rational people have "thoughts"?
No, but only rational people have rational thoughts.
Can an irrational person actually conceive of something that involves combining two opposing concepts?
They say they can.
Perhaps you intended that from the beginning but didn't state it, at least not consistently. I've shown that by quoting your statements.
I don't know why you believe that when my post history says otherwise. I've stated as much over two weeks ago when the topic of whether incoherent statements can be accepted as truth first emerged.
That's why you should've been straightforward in answering my question about
akdjfklajdfklajdfklj;fa when I asked you if that example involved a contradiction.
You didn't ask me a question though. You asked me to "point out the contradiction if any." I didn't see any, so I didn't do any pointing out. Next time ask me if there are any contradictions.
Well when you don't qualify your statements until AFTER I expose a problem with it can you blame me for questioning you? The statement I quoted mentions nothing about a contradiction. I pointed that out to you already.
Seriously? There is no need to qualify it because if someone can have an incoherent belief derived from a contradiction, then trivially someone can have an incoherent belief.
Show me where a person specified how they're holding their contradictory beliefs - two separate beliefs as opposed to one belief that combines opposing concepts.
I pass. I could probably go dig up a person saying they do hold the beliefs that God can lift an unliftable rock though, if you really insist.
Do you accept the 3 laws of "thought" and take that to consider that they don't really have a belief even if they say they do (w/ the exception of holding the opposing views as two separate beliefs)?
Don't know. I am agnostic in this instance.
Do you have any scientific verification to show how or why that can happen?
No.
From our perspective, there can be needs without desires.
Perspective is irrelevant here. If there are no needs without desires, then then are no need without desires.
For instance, our bodies have needs and they are independent of our (humans) desires.
No, our bodies have no needs.
Breathing goes with the physiological need of the body to function.
We've been though this before. This so called "need to breath" is not a need since the body does not need to function. That's like saying I need to have 1 million bucks because I can buy 1 million songs on iTunes with that money. Well I don't need a million songs so I don't actually need a million dollars.
Do you at least agree that the body can not survive without oxygen?
Yes.
Not sure what you mean here. I've shown that our body has needs. Even by your standard it is a need because you said a need has to be a required by a person or being - that being is God...
Not good enough to merely have needs, you need to show needs without a corresponding desire. You are being side tracked. The question is not whether there are needs or not. It's whether there are needs without desire.
Sure, biology doesn't "care", but its undeniable that it functions towards an end which is to survive. That is a defining characteristic of "life". Even viruses reproduce which is part of survival.
But there is no need to survive. How is this even debatable?
That is your "opinion" but not biology. Besides that, your point is invalid if we're in a theistic Universe. Your "desire" is not God's desire...
Same as above. That's proves my point instead of invalidating it. There is no need without desire, God's desire is desire.
You don't need intent. All you need is a purpose.
There is no purpose without intent either.
Just ask yourself, what does the heart do? It functions to keep the body functioning. Just because our heart doesn't understand anything, doesn't mean it doesn't work towards a particular end.
That's what the heart does, but not toward any non-prescribed ends.
Here is my general perspective on life and beliefs. The notion that you can't apply reason to all areas is false because even in the areas where you can't apply it you can just remain an agnostic.
Come on. Whether you remain an agnostic or not, does not change the fact that there are areas where you cannot apply reason to. And that trivially means you can't apply reason to all areas.
By remaining agnostic you're also being reason-based since you're not accepting (belief or otherwise) anything as true until the logic and evidence comes in.
And yet you operate as if that "what-I-would-call-a-belief" is true. How is that different from accepting it as true?
Despite that fact, I have beliefs because I want to function in life to the extent I can have good relations with family and friends and even in causal settings.
Great. That wasn't so hard to admit now, was it? So why it is such an issue when atheists do what you do?
Of course, I have little concern for verifying what's really true when I'm having fun. These types of beliefs that I do hold are simple as opposed to being part of a complete package of ideas or ideologies. This is why I call myself non-ideological (at least in terms of UNPROVEN ideologies). My beliefs are also oftentimes weak and on mundane things, like believing the trash company will pickup my trash the next day. Outside of this personal context, I choose to be a pit bull when it comes to applying the agnostic standard. I do not hold any beliefs when it comes to politics, philosophy, and religion.
Did you forget to qualify politics with "the purely intellectual part there of" again?
You're seeing it which is why you shifted the standard from "no" danger of catching the virus if you stay indoors to "less" danger.
Since when has it ever been a standard of "no" danger?
When governments are making decisions based on what would contain the virus, then my point matters because if lockdowns don't work as good as people thought, then obviously the plan needs to be readjusted. Not ADMITTING that would lead to a false sense of security.
Sure.
Last I checked it was California that instituted the first state-wide lockdown. They were praised by officials as they saw a low infection rate (at least, as reported). But if they were factoring compliance to the lockdown orders in their stats like New York did, then they might also find like New York that a big percentage of the infected were those who complied with the stay-at-home orders. But we don't have to rely on just that factor since antibody tests would also give us a fuller picture on the rate of infection, as opposed to just testing those who have symptoms.

I've already found two different antibody studies done in California and of course the number infection cases are not what Californian officials reported.
The actual number of infections from COVID-19 in Los Angeles County may be as high as 55 times the current number of confirmed positive cases, according to preliminary results from antibody tests conducted as part of a joint venture between the University of Southern California and the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health.
https://abcnews.go.com/Health/results-a ... d=70249753

So yes, this is a valid reason to question the effectiveness of lockdowns and it undercuts those who think they were doing a good job because of it, esp. those Democrat governors who are the main advocates for keeping it going longer.
Why would any of that means it's not less dangerous with the lock down?
Well one leads to the other. Reducing economic lockdown helps the economy.
In which case, then it's trivial that the lock down does help the economy, since not all business are closed; and keeping people at home does stop the spread since it slows down the infection.
I'm not sure how much less given that the effectiveness of lockdowns are in question. To bring in some of my other points, I can also say that being infected presents little to no danger to the low risk population. This is why I say the goal could be refocused on isolating them from the high risk population as opposed to lockdowns on everyone. My plan helps the economy while keeping death counts low which again is the goal.
And my responds is still the scientific/medical consensus is to lock things down, and your plan has a higher risk to health than the lock down.
It's being done now so apparently working family members can socially distance from other family members. We'd be hearing it from our healthcare workers by now if they weren't able to find a way to socially distance from their families. If they can do it, I'm sure a lot of others can.
Sure, it's just harder.
Just think of ways to make it work rather than automatically jumping to the negatives. Remember, the goal is to improve things, rather than staying stuck on the doom and gloom.
Not when my goal is poking holes in your plan.
I've referenced WHO reporting that the majority of people will experience MILD symptoms. That's a statement that factors in the low and even HIGH risk populations. So imagine how much more true it is for the low risk population alone?!
Not sure how that address my point. WHO recommend staying home and self-isolating for those even with minor symptoms.
But "experts" say it is unlikely to happen. It's possible but unlikely. So much for you caring about experts, especially expert "consensus"!
Still the experts say it's not worth risking that. That's me caring about the experts, especially expert consensus.
If you don't want to go outside because there is the SLIGHTEST risk for any miniscule of a bad thing happening, then I bode you well. Very few people could live like that which is why the goal is: Open economy while keeping death count low.
You say that yet only about 1 in 4 adult in the US thinks the restriction should be lifted sooner rather than later.
This response doesn't show me that you disagree with my point. I can lend you a hand and just say it for you - ("you agree with my point"?).
It depends on the circumstances. In some instances I agree, in others I don't.
I know the majority would agree with me if DEATHS weren't an issue. I know that based on how many respond to other diseases.
Really? A long stay in hospital is a major concern for me.
Not so fast. Do you apply that same standard to New Testament scholars who agree that Jesus of the NT was a historical or real person?
Yes.
What is wrong with listening to the experts while also checking their evidence?
Nothing, as long as you are careful about the appeal to authority fallacy.
If you simply go by what a so called "expert" says, then how would you ever know if they're wrong? What happens when two experts disagree, do you simply "listen" to the one who lines up more with your ideology?
I would go with the consensus.
Putting your "faith" in experts is just as dangerous as putting faith in a pastor - both are based on you accepting things without going through the evidence yourself.
No, I do not accept that. Scientists are not on equal ground with priests.
What makes it true, them saying so or the evidence?
Makes what true exactly? Suffice to say them saying so makes it the consensus.
So no data, just words. You "read" or "listen" to it, and they're experts so it must be true? Perhaps you are beginning to get my point now.
Not much of a point when it's still sensible to listen to experts regardless of how often they are wrong.
You want Trump to lose. I appreciate you admitting that given that this matter is a hot political issue.
You are reading too much into what I said. I admit no such thing, this is a scientific/medical issue. It maybe a political issue for some, but not for me.
Oh, if you admit that you in fact did that then I take back my comment on dodging. Reading just the headline or title of an article does NOT count as Research. People on this site, especially moderators, should know this already.
Sure.
A higher risk of what? Deaths? Of damaging the economy even further?
Higher risk to health.
There are risks from any side or way you look at it. But I'm willing to bet what people care about most are DEATHS. Take that away or reduce it greatly, then they'll likely overlook it and continue to live life just as they do with other things that involve a risk.
Which is why I keep telling you, we simply have different standard of acceptable risk to heath vs economy.
I wish all of the Democrats were as candid as you. Just let it be known that you'd be willing to destroy the economy for a virus that causes MILD symptoms to the majority of the population.
That's not what I said at all. I said we would rebuild the economy should it collapse completely, that does not translate to a willingness to destroy it. Presumably you would also rebuild the economy if it collapse? Does that mean you are willing to destroy it?
So why are you still typing? Unplug your computer and give it up to a poor kid that needs to do online classes.
Because keeping my computer instead of giving it up to the poor is inline with my standard that I expect everyone to keep to.
Apparently you're not suffering enough when you have many kids suffering while you have time to spend on an unimportant debate site. Give up your computer! And tell Nancy Pelosi to accommodate a few homeless people by letting them stay in her mansion. She's part of the government!
Nah, we should go for socialism instead. Much higher taxes to pay for more social security, so there are no poor kids without computer access and no homeless people.
Right, and "saying" an opinion repeatedly is not proving it.
There is no need to, this is goal based statement and not a pure intellectual matter.
NOt when you at least have the ability to alleviate some suffering. In fact, it is often times the ones in good positions who are helping the poor. Give people something to look up to, rather than remaining in depression.
Sure, hence socialism.
How "great" can it be seeing that you're still typing?!
Exceedingly great.
Then at least let the people know what is belief and what is proven. That's a start. And then we'll see how much of it can or can't really be established by logic and evidence alone.
Okay, lets start here - what one ought to do are matters of belief.
Not necessarily. In fact, the recovery numbers in the US are the highest in the world. Hospitalization can easily translate into recovery.
Rate or raw numbers?
In fact, there goes more of a need for hospitals. They have a reaosn to expand that business even more. You see what happens when you think positively? I'm not saying don't consider the negatives, but it seems that a lot of liberals are just STUCK on the negatives and not thinking how to resolve it.
What can we say, we care about the most vulnerable, and the front line workers most in danger.
Nope, I mean rate. Here is the data and my source:
The overall hospitalization rate in the U.S. for flu this season is about 68 hospitalizations per 100,000 people
...
The overall hospitalization rate for COVID-19 in the U.S. is about 29 hospitalizations per 100,000
https://www.livescience.com/new-coronav ... h-flu.html
That looks like the per 100,000 population as opposed to per 100,000 infected. What good is that stat when it doesn't take into account the measures to limit infection?
You're sounding more and more like a good believer, except it's towards a different "faith".
And you are sounding more and more like a good believer, equating scientists with priests.
Is it wrong to listen to the experts but also check into their evidence? Is it wrong to also do that while thinking for yourself?
The evidence is light on the ground, and the situation is highly unpredictable.
I would hope most atheists want to think for themselves. Imagine the atheists who don't then going on to attack Christians. That would be hypocritical, of course.
See about re: appeal to authority fallacy.
The point is that the infection spreading will not be a major problem for the majority of the population since they'll only experience MILD symptoms. As for your other point, it's related to my claim that we don't shut down the economy for viruses that have comparable or even more of a death rate.

According to the CDC, there has been 89,407 covid-19 deaths as of today. Only 2.8% of those are from the low risk population which gives you roughly 2,700 deaths. According to the CDC, the 2018-19 flu season had about 34,200 total deaths. So you don't want to allow my low risk population to go out without restrictions eventhough they have a lower death rate and numbers than that of the flu?
Yes.
In other words, why would you close down the economy for 2,700 deaths and NOT for 34,200 deaths when the latter is much more?
Because we don't want more deaths.
*The death count for covid-19 low risk population would be much lower if you factored in NO underlying chronic disease which the stats don't factor for (w/ the exception of New York which is why I know that makes a difference) when considering age.
Oh, here's more facts to support my point:
During March 1–28, 2020, the overall laboratory-confirmed COVID-19–associated hospitalization rate was 4.6 per 100,000 population; rates increased with age, with the highest rates among adults aged ≥65 years. Approximately 90% of hospitalized patients identified through COVID-NET had one or more underlying conditions, the most common being obesity, hypertension, chronic lung disease, diabetes mellitus, and cardiovascular disease.
Source: CDC

Earlier, I already presented my source for the overall hospitalization rates. They showed a lower hospitalization rate for covid-19 and that's considering ALL populations and not just my low risk population.
Same response as above. You need to look at hospitalization rate as number of hospitalization per infection.
Then your claim so far is not proven about the reproductive rate. I also pointed you to information on the WHO site that mentions the flu spreads faster.
Faster but would it be to more people?
This is the first time you've made a positive comment - you suggesting to actually OPEN the economy as opposed to keeping it closed. This shows me it's possible to overcome the political ideology of a person once they're presented with enough logic and evidence!
What made you think any political ideology has been overcame?

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Post #168

Post by Swami »

Wrong posting
Last edited by Swami on Thu Jun 04, 2020 12:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Post #169

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Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote: I only interpret that to mean that you are not bothered by it which means you're okay with not meeting the lower standard. That's the only interpretation given the fact that you have presented your BELIEFS for support in a DEBATE. Refer to the next response below for examples.
Opinion noted.
It is a fact that you've offered your beliefs in our debate. Here is my evidence:
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote: In other words, you believe we should make everyone suffer?
Something like that. I believe we should make no one suffers.

You called it an opinion yourself. Although, this was posted in another discussion but it was a claim that you originally made in our debate here.
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote:Was one of your responses that the governors did not have the goal to open the economy while limiting deaths, not an opinion?
No, not by your definition, since it's not accepted as truth.
You did believe in it at one point Perhaps you discarded your belief after I presented my evidence against it. Notice I also said it "was" your opinion - past tense.

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Post #170

Post by Bust Nak »

AgnosticBoy wrote: It is a fact that you've offered your beliefs in our debate. Here is my evidence:
Bust Nak wrote:
AgnosticBoy wrote: In other words, you believe we should make everyone suffer?
Something like that. I believe we should make no one suffers.

You called it an opinion yourself. Although, this was posted in another discussion but it was a claim that you originally made in our debate here.
Come on. You asked me what my beliefs were and I told you. I am not using beliefs to support my arguments.
You did believe in it at one point.
Go look at my post history and discarded this belief of yours. I believe (my definition of believe) the very opposite, (which would not classify as a belief by your definition.)

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