Facebook's demise
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- bluethread
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Facebook's demise
Post #1I hear that there is a sociological study that predicts Facebook will crash due to trend burnout. That is, once something becomes common, it loses it's trendy appeal and becomes unmarketable. Do you think this is what will happen?
Re: Facebook's demise
Post #11But how does that number compare to the number of people who are entering the age of technology, or the number of people who are dropping facebook? Looking at a number in isolation doesn't tell the real story.Tcg wrote:It's a bit premature to speculate on what will cause this predicted "crash". The number of Facebook active users has increased ever quarter since this post was created in early 2014 and shows no sign of slowing.shnarkle wrote:I don't think the trendiness of Facebook will be the biggest factor.bluethread wrote: I hear that there is a sociological study that predicts Facebook will crash due to trend burnout. That is, once something becomes common, it loses it's trendy appeal and becomes unmarketable. Do you think this is what will happen?
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Re: Facebook's demise
Post #12It is not one number, it is a serious of numbers from each quarter over the last 4+ years. All of those numbers indicate a growth in the number of Facebook active users in every quarter. If you have some means to argue that these numbers indicate an impending "crash" of Facebook, please feel free to present that argument.shnarkle wrote:But how does that number compare to the number of people who are entering the age of technology, or the number of people who are dropping facebook? Looking at a number in isolation doesn't tell the real story.Tcg wrote:It's a bit premature to speculate on what will cause this predicted "crash". The number of Facebook active users has increased ever quarter since this post was created in early 2014 and shows no sign of slowing.shnarkle wrote:I don't think the trendiness of Facebook will be the biggest factor.bluethread wrote: I hear that there is a sociological study that predicts Facebook will crash due to trend burnout. That is, once something becomes common, it loses it's trendy appeal and becomes unmarketable. Do you think this is what will happen?
Re: Facebook's demise
Post #13That's not my argument. My argument is pointing out that to simply present a number that is growing doesn't necessrily show that facebook is growing at the same rate. In other words, if the number of facebook users is growing by 5% annually, and the number of people who are going online is also growing at 5%, and the population is growing at 10%, and the number of people who are leaving facebook is growing at 2%, then facebook isn't actually growing at all in relation to population growth or those who are beginning to go online.Tcg wrote:It is not one number, it is a serious of numbers from each quarter over the last 4+ years. All of those numbers indicate a growth in the number of Facebook active users in every quarter. If you have some means to argue that these numbers indicate an impending "crash" of Facebook, please feel free to present that argument.shnarkle wrote:But how does that number compare to the number of people who are entering the age of technology, or the number of people who are dropping facebook? Looking at a number in isolation doesn't tell the real story.Tcg wrote:It's a bit premature to speculate on what will cause this predicted "crash". The number of Facebook active users has increased ever quarter since this post was created in early 2014 and shows no sign of slowing.shnarkle wrote:I don't think the trendiness of Facebook will be the biggest factor.bluethread wrote: I hear that there is a sociological study that predicts Facebook will crash due to trend burnout. That is, once something becomes common, it loses it's trendy appeal and becomes unmarketable. Do you think this is what will happen?
This happens all the time. People see that they're getting 2% interest on their savings, but they don't understand how they can be losing money when inflation is at 7 or 8 %. They arent' making money at all. By the same token, Facebook could be experiencing a decline in growth in relative numbers.
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Re: Facebook's demise
Post #14shnarkle wrote:Tcg wrote:It is not one number, it is a serious of numbers from each quarter over the last 4+ years. All of those numbers indicate a growth in the number of Facebook active users in every quarter. If you have some means to argue that these numbers indicate an impending "crash" of Facebook, please feel free to present that argument.shnarkle wrote:But how does that number compare to the number of people who are entering the age of technology, or the number of people who are dropping facebook? Looking at a number in isolation doesn't tell the real story.Tcg wrote:It's a bit premature to speculate on what will cause this predicted "crash". The number of Facebook active users has increased ever quarter since this post was created in early 2014 and shows no sign of slowing.shnarkle wrote:I don't think the trendiness of Facebook will be the biggest factor.bluethread wrote: I hear that there is a sociological study that predicts Facebook will crash due to trend burnout. That is, once something becomes common, it loses it's trendy appeal and becomes unmarketable. Do you think this is what will happen?
Then you aren't addressing the OP nor my reaction to it.
That's not my argument.
Once again, it is not one number. Additionally, I never claimed that Facebook is growing at the same rate. As before, you are not addressing the facts I have presented.
My argument is pointing out that to simply present a number that is growing doesn't necessrily show that facebook is growing at the same rate.
Re: Facebook's demise
Post #15Tcg wrote:shnarkle wrote:Tcg wrote:It is not one number, it is a serious of numbers from each quarter over the last 4+ years. All of those numbers indicate a growth in the number of Facebook active users in every quarter. If you have some means to argue that these numbers indicate an impending "crash" of Facebook, please feel free to present that argument.shnarkle wrote:But how does that number compare to the number of people who are entering the age of technology, or the number of people who are dropping facebook? Looking at a number in isolation doesn't tell the real story.Tcg wrote:It's a bit premature to speculate on what will cause this predicted "crash". The number of Facebook active users has increased ever quarter since this post was created in early 2014 and shows no sign of slowing.shnarkle wrote:I don't think the trendiness of Facebook will be the biggest factor.bluethread wrote: I hear that there is a sociological study that predicts Facebook will crash due to trend burnout. That is, once something becomes common, it loses it's trendy appeal and becomes unmarketable. Do you think this is what will happen?
That's not my argument.
I did both, and you're just ignoring what I posted.Then you aren't addressing the OP nor my reaction to it.
My argument is pointing out that to simply present a number that is growing doesn't necessrily show that facebook is growing at the same rate.
Once again, it is not one number.[/quotue]
It's a number that isn't related to any other number other than the numbers of people who are joining facebook. Again, this doesn't tell us much of anything. You keep ignoring that simple fact. So what if people join facebook, if twice as many people are joining some new competing entity then facebook is losing market share.
You didn't supply any rate of growth which as I pointd out before tells us absolutely nothing.Additionally, I never claimed that Facebook is growing at the same rate.
I'm addressing the fact that your factoids are useless.As before, you are not addressing the facts I have presented.
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Re: Facebook's demise
Post #16shnarkle wrote:Tcg wrote:I never referred to the numbers of people who are joining Facebook. Once again, your post doesn't address what I did state.shnarkle wrote:Tcg wrote:It is not one number, it is a serious of numbers from each quarter over the last 4+ years. All of those numbers indicate a growth in the number of Facebook active users in every quarter. If you have some means to argue that these numbers indicate an impending "crash" of Facebook, please feel free to present that argument.shnarkle wrote:But how does that number compare to the number of people who are entering the age of technology, or the number of people who are dropping facebook? Looking at a number in isolation doesn't tell the real story.Tcg wrote:It's a bit premature to speculate on what will cause this predicted "crash". The number of Facebook active users has increased ever quarter since this post was created in early 2014 and shows no sign of slowing.shnarkle wrote:I don't think the trendiness of Facebook will be the biggest factor.bluethread wrote: I hear that there is a sociological study that predicts Facebook will crash due to trend burnout. That is, once something becomes common, it loses it's trendy appeal and becomes unmarketable. Do you think this is what will happen?
That's not my argument.
I did both, and you're just ignoring what I posted.Then you aren't addressing the OP nor my reaction to it.
My argument is pointing out that to simply present a number that is growing doesn't necessrily show that facebook is growing at the same rate.
Once again, it is not one number.
It's a number that isn't related to any other number other than the numbers of people who are joining facebook.
Re: Facebook's demise
Post #17No doubt about it. You basically posted a whole lot of nothing. Just some claim that some people are joining facebook as if that means anything. I addressed the fact that your meaningless post was essentially and effectively meanginless in that it tells us nothing. It doesn't tell us how many people are dropping facebook It doesn't tell us how many people use facebook or how many people who have joined who don't use facebook. It doesn't tell us how the numbers of people who are joining compare with population growth, or how it compares with competitors. I can assure you those who have a significant stake in facebook are going to know those numbers because those are the numbers that matter. A simple observation that people continue to join facebook is completely useless. Thanks for making my points for me.I never referred to the numbers of people who are joining Facebook. Once again, your post doesn't address what I did state.
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Re: Facebook's demise
Post #18[Replying to post 1 by bluethread]
It was announced today that Mark Zuckerberg is now the third richest person in the world. Co-founding and CEOing a failure such as Facebook must be very lucrative.
Apparently many users of Facebook are indeed smart enough to remember their logins and they use them quite regularly.
It was announced today that Mark Zuckerberg is now the third richest person in the world. Co-founding and CEOing a failure such as Facebook must be very lucrative.
Apparently many users of Facebook are indeed smart enough to remember their logins and they use them quite regularly.