A Deluge of Evidence for the Flood?

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LittlePig
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A Deluge of Evidence for the Flood?

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Post by LittlePig »

otseng wrote:
goat wrote:
otseng wrote:
LittlePig wrote: And I can't think of any reason you would make the comment you made if you weren't suggesting that the find favored your view of a worldwide flood.
Umm, because simply it's a better explanation? And the fact that it's more consistent with the Flood Model doesn't hurt either. ;)
Except, of course, it isn't consistent with a 'Flood Model', since it isn't mixed in with any animals that we know are modern.
Before the rabbits multiply beyond control, I'll just leave my proposal as a rapid burial. Nothing more than that. For this thread, it can just be a giant mud slide.
Since it's still spring time, let's let the rabbits multiply.

Questions for Debate:

1) Does a Global Flood Model provide the best explanation for our current fossil record, geologic formations, and biodiversity?

2) What real science is used in Global Flood Models?

3) What predictions does a Global Flood Model make?

4) Have Global Flood Models ever been subjected to a formal peer review process?
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Post #631

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otseng wrote:
nygreenguy wrote:
Let me propose a different question. Why does it matter?
Going back only 10,000 years is a problem for SG timeframes. Whereas for the FM, it is not a problem. What explanation is there that an unbroken sequence of tree rings only goes back 10,000 years?
Because they don't have the samples for the "full sequence"?

This link shows that it's all about finding the samples and just like the fossil record, it's hard to do. Are you insinuating that we don't find further back than 10,000 years because of some global flood? Hadn't you moved to your more...extreme outer limit of 100,000 years since the ice core analysis? So which is it?

From the Wikipedia article (back on Ice Cores...):
Dating is a difficult task. Five different dating methods have been used for Vostok cores, with differences such as 300 years at 100 m depth, 600yr at 200 m, 7000yr at 400 m, 5000yr at 800 m, 6000yr at 1600 m, and 5000yr at 1934 m.[24]
And here is reference #24:

http://www.nicl-smo.sr.unh.edu/Langway_ ... _cores.pdf

So if 5 different methods are used and they are still in the rough period (i.e. 420,000 years 5,000 years which is maximum 1.2% deviation - fairly insignificant), that must surely mean something...should it not?

From this link, the dating methods used are:
The methods used in the determination of the ages include 18O/16O isotopic analysis [1], independent ice-flow calculations [1], comparison with other ice cores [1], paleoclimatic comparison [1], comparison with deep sea cores [1], 10Be/9Be isotopic analysis [2], deuterium/hydrogen isotopic analysis [3], comparison with marine climatic record [3], CO2 correspondances between dated ice-cores [4] and CO2 correspondances with dated oceanic cores [4].

The results determined from these various samples were consistent between the continuous and discontinuous slices within the sections that overlapped. They were also consistent with Greenland ice-cores, other Antarctic ice-cores, dated volcanic records, deep sea cores, and paleoclimatic evidence.
http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/icecores.html

Not just counting the layers....
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Post #632

Post by micatala »

otseng wrote:
nygreenguy wrote:
otseng wrote: Yes, I asked for unbroken so that we can get an absolute date for the tree rings. If it was broken, there would obviously be no way we can give a date for them based solely on tree rings.
Yes, the date may not be as absolute as tree rings are but so what? Once we start getting that far back why do we need to be so absolute(down to the year)?
If tree rings are to be used as a dating technique, then it should use absolute dating. If it was broken, it would no longer be able to give an absolute date. The point is not that it should specify down to the exact year, but that only an unbroken sequence, and not a broken sequence, would be able to specify a particular timeframe.
Unbroken is better, but it seems broken sequences could still be useful.

If we have an unbroken sequence of say 8000 years, and then another sequence of 9000 years which we can determine has no overlap with the first sequence, then we can say the earliest rings are from at least 17000 years ago.

Now, the brokenness means we could miss major events, like a flood, but we could at least rule out or rule in events which are not (or are) recorded in the rings we have during those years.
otseng wrote:
Let's go back a step. What trees do they use to make an unbroken sequence back to 10,000 years? Do they include fossilized trees? Do they include "well-preserved, but not fossilized trees" as micatala proposed?
Let me propose a different question. Why does it matter?
Going back only 10,000 years is a problem for SG timeframes. Whereas for the FM, it is not a problem. What explanation is there that an unbroken sequence of tree rings only goes back 10,000 years?
Perhaps we simply do not have any trees with sufficient structural integrity past that age.

Also, this is only a problem for the SG if there were not other robust dating techniques that go back much further and that operate over much longer time scales. We have ice cores currently under discussion. We also have radiometric dating, dating based on changes in the earth's magnetic field, and the use of these techniques in combination along with the fossil record. We have many ways of estimating ancient dates.
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Post #633

Post by Goat »

Scotracer wrote:
otseng wrote:
nygreenguy wrote:
Let me propose a different question. Why does it matter?
Going back only 10,000 years is a problem for SG timeframes. Whereas for the FM, it is not a problem. What explanation is there that an unbroken sequence of tree rings only goes back 10,000 years?
Because they don't have the samples for the "full sequence"?

This link shows that it's all about finding the samples and just like the fossil record, it's hard to do. Are you insinuating that we don't find further back than 10,000 years because of some global flood? Hadn't you moved to your more...extreme outer limit of 100,000 years since the ice core analysis? So which is it?

From the Wikipedia article (back on Ice Cores...):
Dating is a difficult task. Five different dating methods have been used for Vostok cores, with differences such as 300 years at 100 m depth, 600yr at 200 m, 7000yr at 400 m, 5000yr at 800 m, 6000yr at 1600 m, and 5000yr at 1934 m.[24]
And here is reference #24:

http://www.nicl-smo.sr.unh.edu/Langway_ ... _cores.pdf

So if 5 different methods are used and they are still in the rough period (i.e. 420,000 years 5,000 years which is maximum 1.2% deviation - fairly insignificant), that must surely mean something...should it not?

From this link, the dating methods used are:
The methods used in the determination of the ages include 18O/16O isotopic analysis [1], independent ice-flow calculations [1], comparison with other ice cores [1], paleoclimatic comparison [1], comparison with deep sea cores [1], 10Be/9Be isotopic analysis [2], deuterium/hydrogen isotopic analysis [3], comparison with marine climatic record [3], CO2 correspondances between dated ice-cores [4] and CO2 correspondances with dated oceanic cores [4].

The results determined from these various samples were consistent between the continuous and discontinuous slices within the sections that overlapped. They were also consistent with Greenland ice-cores, other Antarctic ice-cores, dated volcanic records, deep sea cores, and paleoclimatic evidence.
http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/icecores.html

Not just counting the layers....
We actually have the extreme limit of 500,000 years, 5 times the number of years that was given for the 'outside' limit of the flood.
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Post #634

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otseng wrote
But, I'm simply using the assumption that SG makes that things are constant in the past as they are now.
No, you are using the STRAWMAN that SG says things were constant in the past, SG actually posits many ice ages and other drastic changes in the climate over time, though such changes have much less effect on the poles(which are, after all, already under ice age conditions). Any assumptions that are made in SG must be tempered and informed by the history and known forces of each situation.

Assuming that frozen wastelands around the poles have not had warm weather in the last few hundred thousand years is well supported by the available evidence and many different lines of evidence. You should be aware that any years without rings only adds to the age represented and multiple rings in a single year are highly unlikely, they do, after all, represent the seasons of the year(IE the tilting of the poles). Plus, where's the salt???

Based just on the evidence of the ice cores, there has been no world wide flood in the last 150,000 years aat least(actually more like 350,000 years). The flood story is a myth, probably based on regional flooding at the end of the last ice age 15-18,000 years ago.

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Post #635

Post by nygreenguy »

otseng wrote: Yes, it could. And in all likelihood, it was different in the past. But, I'm simply using the assumption that SG makes that things are constant in the past as they are now.
Actually "sg" makes no assumption. Assumptions are without evidence. SG makes claims based upon evidence. Now, these claims are things like the radioactive decay of elements is constant, the speed of light is constant, continents drift,etc. They NEVER assume the CLIMATE remains constant. This claim is absolutely baseless and ridiculous.

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Post #636

Post by nygreenguy »

otseng wrote: If tree rings are to be used as a dating technique, then it should use absolute dating.
Since when?Why do we need to know if something happened in 134,568bc as opposed to between 120-150,000 years ago?

If it was broken, it would no longer be able to give an absolute date.
Which is irrelevant
The point is not that it should specify down to the exact year, but that only an unbroken sequence, and not a broken sequence, would be able to specify a particular timeframe.
Incorrect. Do you really think scientists only rely on a singe piece of data to make calculations like these?

Going back only 10,000 years is a problem for SG timeframes. Whereas for the FM, it is not a problem. What explanation is there that an unbroken sequence of tree rings only goes back 10,000 years?
Everything is a problem for fm because its simply made up and not based upon reality. There is zero, and I mean zero evidence which even suggests there was ever a global flood as described in the bible. It is a fact it didnt happen.

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Post #637

Post by nygreenguy »

otseng wrote: I assume you mean ice core layers, not rings. Also, I'm not sure what you are saying here. Are you saying all layers are definitively annual layers?
No
And if non-annual layers are easily recognized, by what criteria do they they recognize it?
Well, just like tree rings. You can take multiple cores and match them up. Climate changes ice cores just like it does tree rings.

There are also issues like morphological changes. Extra layers and too little are not the same as the predictable annual layers like in trees.

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Post #638

Post by otseng »

Grumpy wrote:otseng wrote
But, I'm simply using the assumption that SG makes that things are constant in the past as they are now.
No, you are using the STRAWMAN that SG says things were constant in the past, SG actually posits many ice ages and other drastic changes in the climate over time, though such changes have much less effect on the poles(which are, after all, already under ice age conditions).
nygreenguy wrote:
otseng wrote: Yes, it could. And in all likelihood, it was different in the past. But, I'm simply using the assumption that SG makes that things are constant in the past as they are now.
Actually "sg" makes no assumption. Assumptions are without evidence.
I find it odd that this assumption would be questioned. Since, SG is based on the principle (assumption) of uniformity.

"Uniformitarianism is a basic principle of modern geology."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uniformita ... science%29

"Uniformitarianism, in the philosophy of science, is the assumption that the natural processes operating in the past are the same as those that can be observed operating in the present."
http://en.allexperts.com/e/u/un/uniform ... nce%29.htm

Bear in mind, I do not subscribe to this assumption. However, it is a basic principle in SG. If you question this assumption, then you question the very foundational presupposition of SG.
Now, these claims are things like the radioactive decay of elements is constant, the speed of light is constant, continents drift,etc.
We agree that the physical constants have remained the same. So radioactive half-life and speed of light is constant. As for continental drift, that theory has been replaced by plate tectonic theory. Which is not a physical constant, but a theory.
They NEVER assume the CLIMATE remains constant. This claim is absolutely baseless and ridiculous.
Again, I would agree with you that climate cannot remain constant. I was simply giving an estimate based on the principle of uniformity. If the assumption of a constant precipitation rate cannot be made to make an estimate, then by what criteria can we judge in how long it took to deposit the ice cap?

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Post #639

Post by otseng »

micatala wrote:
otseng wrote:
nygreenguy wrote:perhaps this is because it would be easy to tell? Its often a criticism of dendrochronology that double rings give a false large reading when the reality is false rings are physiologically different than true rings and are easily caught and accounted for. Same goes for ice cores (except not physiology, but physical)
I've already given evidence that layers are assumed to be annual. Also, micatala confirms this assumption: "Yes, ice core dating assumes annual rings."

If you can show evidence that they actually test for subannual layering, I'd be interested in seeing it.
I did find some additional info on this, posted in Post #601
http://debatingchristianity.com/forum/v ... &start=600

This doesn't say that they tested for subannual layering directly, but in the sense that they are checking that the layers are annual, they are confirming that that assumption is backed up by data.
As for subannual layering, are you referring to this?
The seasonal snow layers are easiest to see in snow pits, writes Alley, the Evan Pugh Professor in the Environment Institute and Department of Geosciences at Pennsylvania State University. To see the layers, scientists dig two pits separated by a thin wall of snow. One pit is covered, and the other is left open to sunlight. By standing in the covered pit, scientists can study the annual snow layers in the snow wall as the sunlight filters through the other side. I have stood in snow pits with dozens of people"drillers, journalists, and others"and so far, every visitor has been impressed. The snow is blue, something like the blue seen by deep sea divers, an indescribable, almost achingly beautiful blue, writes Alley. The next thing most people notice is the layering.

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Post #640

Post by nygreenguy »

otseng wrote: I find it odd that this assumption would be questioned. Since, SG is based on the principle (assumption) of uniformity.

"Uniformitarianism is a basic principle of modern geology."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uniformita ... science%29

"Uniformitarianism, in the philosophy of science, is the assumption that the natural processes operating in the past are the same as those that can be observed operating in the present."
http://en.allexperts.com/e/u/un/uniform ... nce%29.htm

Bear in mind, I do not subscribe to this assumption. However, it is a basic principle in SG. If you question this assumption, then you question the very foundational presupposition of SG.
What I question is your understanding of uniformitarianism which is very flawed.
We agree that the physical constants have remained the same. So radioactive half-life and speed of light is constant. As for continental drift, that theory has been replaced by plate tectonic theory. Which is not a physical constant, but a theory.
Plate tectonics hasnt necessarily replaced continental drift, but modified it. This idea is generally the same, Im just not a geologist so I dont use the most precise terms.

Again, I would agree with you that climate cannot remain constant. I was simply giving an estimate based on the principle of uniformity. If the assumption of a constant precipitation rate cannot be made to make an estimate, then by what criteria can we judge in how long it took to deposit the ice cap?
Show me somewhere where uniformitarianism says the climate must remain constant? The principal of uniformity NEVER says everything remains constant. Its utterly offensive to me as a scientist for you to make such blatant false accusations.
Stephen Jay Gould's first scientific paper, Is uniformitarianism necessary? (1965), reduced these four interpretations to two, methodological and substantive uniformitarianism[18]. He dismissed the first principle, which asserted spatial and temporal invariance of natural laws, as no longer an issue of debate. He rejected the second as an unjustified limitation on scientific inquiry, as it constrains past geologic rates and conditions to those of the present. Later, Gould expanded on these related propositions in Time's Arrow, Time's Cycle (1987), stating that Lyell conflated two different types of propositions: a pair of methodological assumptions with a pair of substantive hypotheses.[19]
[edit] Methodological assumptions

The methodological assumptions are universally acclaimed by scientists, and embraced by all geologists. Gould further states that these philosophical propositions must be assumed before you can proceed as a scientist doing science. "You cannot go to a rocky outcrop and observe either the constancy of nature's laws or the working of unknown processes. It works the other way around." You first assume these propositions and "then you go to the out crop of rock."[20]

* Uniformity of law: Natural laws are constant across space and time.[21]

The axiom of uniformity of law is necessary in order for scientists to extrapolate inductive inference into the unobservable past. As James Hutton wrote: If the stone, for example, which fell today, were to rise again tomorrow, there would be an end of natural philosophy [i.e. science], our principles would fail, and we would no longer investigate the rules of nature from our observations.[22] In essence, the constancy of natural laws must be assumed in our study of the past, because if we do not, then we cannot meaningfully study the past. Making inferences about the past is wrapped up in the difference between studying the observable present and the unobservable past. In the observable present, induction can be regarded as self-corrective. That is to say, our erroneous beliefs about the observable world can be proven wrong and corrected by other observations. This is Popper's principle of falsifiability. However, past processes are not observable by their very nature. Therefore, in order to come to conclusions about the past, we must assume the invariance of nature's laws.[21]

* Uniformity of process: If a past phenomenon can be understood as the result of a process now acting in time and space, do not invent an extinct or unknown cause as its explanation.[20]

We should try to explain the past by causes now in operation without inventing extra, fancy, or unknown causes, however plausible in logic, if available processes suffice.[20] This is known as the scientific principle of parsimony or Occam's razor.
[edit] Substantive hypotheses

The substantive hypotheses were controversial and, in some cases, accepted by few.[19] These hypotheses are judged true or false on empirical grounds through scientific observation and repeated experimental data. This is in contrast with the previous two philosophical assumptions[20] that come before one can do science and so cannot be tested or falsified by science.

* Uniformity of rate: Change is typically slow, steady, and gradual.[20]

Gould said that mountain ranges or grand canyons are built by accumulation of near insensible changes added up through vast time. Some major events such as floods, earthquakes, and eruptions, do occur. But these catastrophes are strictly local. They neither occurred in the past, nor shall happen in the future, at any greater frequency or extent than they display at present. In particular, the whole earth is never convulsed at once.[23]

* Uniformity of state: Change is evenly distributed throughout space and time.[24]

The uniformity of state hypothesis (i.e. steadystateism) implies that throughout the history of our earth there is no progress in any inexorable direction. The planet has almost always looked and behaved as it does now. Change is continuous, but leads nowhere. The earth is in balance: a dynamic steady state.

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