Lessing's Ditch

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theopoesis
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Lessing's Ditch

Post #1

Post by theopoesis »

G.E. Lessing wrote:If no historical truth can be demonstrated, then nothing can be demonstrated by means of historical truths. That is: accidental truths of history can never become the proof of necessary truths of reason... That, then, is the ugly, broad ditch which I cannot get across, however often and however earnestly I have tried to make the leap
Post-modernity argues that many intellectual fields are a result of particular historical processes. Specific contexts, events, decisions, discoveries, and thinkers led to a specific conclusion as part of that particular unfolding of history.

Questions for debate:

(1) Are historical events necessarily an impediment to absolute claims of truth? Is Lessing's ditch real?

(2) Are post-modernists correct in claiming that particular worldviews or intellectual fields emerge primarily out of particular histories or genealogies (or as a result of these histories or genealogies)?

(3) Does the historical embeddedness of many fields of knowledge lead to problems for the secularist? For the theist?

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Post #31

Post by ChaosBorders »

Goat wrote: Yes, things might have worked out differently if different events happened, but it didn't. That is like saying "I might have been rich if I won last nights lottery but I didn't. Trying to find 'significant truths' it 'what if's' doesn't have any meaning.
Clearly whatever your work is does not involve much statistical modeling or forecasting...

Though I can understand some personality types are not predisposed towards thinking or caring about such hypothetical issues, I think understanding what could have happened or what could happen can give insight into better understanding what did happen and why.

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Post #32

Post by ChaosBorders »

theopoesis wrote: I think you are partly on target. I am asking one more thing, though... I'm not only wondering about the way that human nature relates to theories (are theories what you call "a meaningful part of our nature"), I am wondering about the content of the theories as well. If theories develop in history, and history is random or contingent, can we trust the content of these theories to be anything other than random or arbitrary or contingent?
This is a very good point and something statistical methodologies have developed to try and adequately answer. Firstly, yes they are contingent. They are contingent upon history having happened the way it happened. For instance, if we had evolved differently then obviously human nature would be different. I think Goat's frustration might be that on a practical level it doesn't really matter though if they are contingent because history happened how it did and it's not going to change.

The content of well developed theories though are not, for the most part, random or arbitrary. At least not entirely. Statistical methodologies work hard to ensure that confounding variables and the like are controlled for as much as possible so that true trends can be distinguished from chance. Studies are replicated (or should be) repeatedly to further guarantee the results that lead to the theories are not the result of chance or arbitrary mistakes.

I suppose if one's world view is that the accumulated differences that these things try to describe were the result of purely arbitrary processes, then the end result itself is, in effect, also in a sense arbitrary. But as far as whether people are randomly and arbitrarily making theories, I would say not really.
theopoesis wrote: I think theology, given its assumptions, can answer "yes" to that question concerning a theistic set of theories. I am wondering whether the secularist can answer yes.
That depends on how you're approaching it. From a methodological viewpoint then a secularist can definitely answer that it is non-arbitrary or at least should be if done well. From a content perspective the content developed as a result of accumulated (somewhat arbitrary) randomness, which in a sense makes the result itself random and arbitrary. However, the accumulation of the randomness seems to occur due to 'rules' as it were that are not entirely arbitrary and bias the randomness in favor of certain results over time. I think what is of greater interest to many secularists is discovering these 'rules' and as such the content resulting from them often more so serve a purpose only as to whether they confirm or dis-confirm a certain hypothesized rule.

Which could also be why Goat thinks this conversation is meaningless. You may well be prioritizing two very different things so he has no idea what point you're trying to make.

theopoesis wrote: As for the 8th grade language level, you do have a point. I'm not doing the best at that, but I am trying. I've got two problems: (1) I just came from grad school, so this is how I've been writing for three years, and habits die hard.
What school did you go to and what major did you do there? For all of us business majors at UT, they made it quite clear we need to break any habits regarding wordiness and such developed during high school. I still have not managed to entirely do so. :|

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Post #33

Post by ChaosBorders »

EduChris wrote: Human brains do not usually become capable of abstract thought until early teens or later. And our brains do not become fully "online" usually until around age 30.
Guess that bodes well for me. Unless mine just came online early....

I've read though that cognitive abilities do not reach their peak (assuming one keeps their brain active) until late forties to early fifties, at which point they will start declining no matter how hard you try (though far less so for those who stay mentally active).
EduChris wrote: So it is impossible to take complex, abstract concepts and "dumb them down" to the eighth grade level.


The concepts yes. The words, on the other hand, often can be. Average sentence length below 20 words a sentence. Use as easily understood synonyms as possible. Active verbs instead of passive. Keep sentences with multiple clauses to a minimum. Etc.

I am obviously not very good at many of these things yet myself. But if someone does not seem to be following you, trying extra hard to do these things may help them. You may not be able to dumb down concepts but often you can dumb down the language used to express them.

EduChris wrote: I think in the case of some people, their brains develop very strongly toward concrete things, and the very strength of this development hinders their ability to ever comprehend more abstract concepts.
Yes, this is true. I think personality types have some influence regarding this issue, but I don't recall for sure off the top of my head.

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Post #34

Post by Goat »

ChaosBorders wrote:
Goat wrote: Yes, things might have worked out differently if different events happened, but it didn't. That is like saying "I might have been rich if I won last nights lottery but I didn't. Trying to find 'significant truths' it 'what if's' doesn't have any meaning.
Clearly whatever your work is does not involve much statistical modeling or forecasting...
When it comes to statistical modeling or forecasting, you can compare results with actualities to check to see if the algorithm you are using is correct. That has nothing to do with 'significant truth', but merely checking the accuracy of the model verses the input data. That isn't trying to see accuracy of 'word soup'.

Though I can understand some personality types are not predisposed towards thinking or caring about such hypothetical issues, I think understanding what could have happened or what could happen can give insight into better understanding what did happen and why.
It's one thing to speculate about the course of history, and what 'might have', but trying to blow it up to some fantastic metaphysical principle and problem is overkill.

Like I said, the events of having an empire rise and fall is Not in a vacuum, and studying the ebb and flow of human civilizations can provide some interesting information about why things might have happened. However, is that a 'significant truth"?? Not in my opinion.
“What do you think science is? There is nothing magical about science. It is simply a systematic way for carefully and thoroughly observing nature and using consistent logic to evaluate results. So which part of that exactly do you disagree with? Do you disagree with being thorough? Using careful observation? Being systematic? Or using consistent logic?�

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Post #35

Post by ChaosBorders »

Goat wrote: When it comes to statistical modeling or forecasting, you can compare results with actualities to check to see if the algorithm you are using is correct. That has nothing to do with 'significant truth', but merely checking the accuracy of the model verses the input data. That isn't trying to see accuracy of 'word soup'.
Such models very often depend upon probability distributions. You may be able to tweak a model to make it more accurate, but that doesn't change that they are creating a hypothetical range of possible outcomes and/or scenarios, only one of which is going to occur in actuality.

Like I said, the events of having an empire rise and fall is Not in a vacuum, and studying the ebb and flow of human civilizations can provide some interesting information about why things might have happened. However, is that a 'significant truth"?? Not in my opinion.
May I ask what you would consider (if anything) to be a 'significant truth'?

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Post #36

Post by Goat »

ChaosBorders wrote:
Goat wrote: When it comes to statistical modeling or forecasting, you can compare results with actualities to check to see if the algorithm you are using is correct. That has nothing to do with 'significant truth', but merely checking the accuracy of the model verses the input data. That isn't trying to see accuracy of 'word soup'.
Such models very often depend upon probability distributions. You may be able to tweak a model to make it more accurate, but that doesn't change that they are creating a hypothetical range of possible outcomes and/or scenarios, only one of which is going to occur in actuality.
Yes, it deals with probabilities, and is not perfect, but a more accurate model will be right more often than a less accurate model.
Like I said, the events of having an empire rise and fall is Not in a vacuum, and studying the ebb and flow of human civilizations can provide some interesting information about why things might have happened. However, is that a 'significant truth"?? Not in my opinion.
May I ask what you would consider (if anything) to be a 'significant truth'?
No, I consider 'significant truth' to be word soup and meaningless.
“What do you think science is? There is nothing magical about science. It is simply a systematic way for carefully and thoroughly observing nature and using consistent logic to evaluate results. So which part of that exactly do you disagree with? Do you disagree with being thorough? Using careful observation? Being systematic? Or using consistent logic?�

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Post #37

Post by theopoesis »

theopoesis wrote: I think you are partly on target. I am asking one more thing, though... I'm not only wondering about the way that human nature relates to theories (are theories what you call "a meaningful part of our nature"), I am wondering about the content of the theories as well. If theories develop in history, and history is random or contingent, can we trust the content of these theories to be anything other than random or arbitrary or contingent?
ChaosBorders wrote:This is a very good point and something statistical methodologies have developed to try and adequately answer. Firstly, yes they are contingent. They are contingent upon history having happened the way it happened. For instance, if we had evolved differently then obviously human nature would be different. I think Goat's frustration might be that on a practical level it doesn't really matter though if they are contingent because history happened how it did and it's not going to change.

The content of well developed theories though are not, for the most part, random or arbitrary. At least not entirely. Statistical methodologies work hard to ensure that confounding variables and the like are controlled for as much as possible so that true trends can be distinguished from chance. Studies are replicated (or should be) repeatedly to further guarantee the results that lead to the theories are not the result of chance or arbitrary mistakes.

I suppose if one's world view is that the accumulated differences that these things try to describe were the result of purely arbitrary processes, then the end result itself is, in effect, also in a sense arbitrary. But as far as whether people are randomly and arbitrarily making theories, I would say not really.
I grant that people who are making theories are not doing so randomly. I do think there is a divide here between the hard sciences (physics, biology, chemistry, astronomy, etc.) and other fields on this though. I consider areas like ethics, philosophy, sociology, anthropology, and some aspects of political science and economics to be the ones particularly subject to this criticism.
theopoesis wrote: I think theology, given its assumptions, can answer "yes" to that question concerning a theistic set of theories. I am wondering whether the secularist can answer yes.
ChaosBorders wrote:That depends on how you're approaching it. From a methodological viewpoint then a secularist can definitely answer that it is non-arbitrary or at least should be if done well. From a content perspective the content developed as a result of accumulated (somewhat arbitrary) randomness, which in a sense makes the result itself random and arbitrary. However, the accumulation of the randomness seems to occur due to 'rules' as it were that are not entirely arbitrary and bias the randomness in favor of certain results over time. I think what is of greater interest to many secularists is discovering these 'rules' and as such the content resulting from them often more so serve a purpose only as to whether they confirm or dis-confirm a certain hypothesized rule.
I said a few times early in the thread (which I know you've said you hadn't read) that this criticism is not directed towards science, and I think that your explanation here is the reason why science escapes the criticism of arbitrary history. Other fields, though, I think are not protected by this defense. In many cases "fixed laws" in fields such as anthropology, sociology, and ethics seem to be culturally (and thus historically) determined. Other fields are determined, but less clearly so (I'm thinking of recent explorations of performative and behavioral economics, for example). Some fields might have a fixed scientific/biological component with an additional cultural component. Psychology is one such example, where certain psychological phenomena are the result of genes, hormones, etc but others are more influenced by individual past and cultural factors. I am simply wondering whether these cultural or historical elements, if history is in fact as contingent as I argued, can lead to either meaningful conclusions or methodologies that focus on "laws" that are in any sense something more than arbitrary patterns. I have not seen a sufficient secular methodology in many of the non-scientific fields to convince me of the rigor of secular methodology in these areas. I could be wrong.
ChaosBorders wrote:Which could also be why Goat thinks this conversation is meaningless. You may well be prioritizing two very different things so he has no idea what point you're trying to make.
Perhaps.
theopoesis wrote: As for the 8th grade language level, you do have a point. I'm not doing the best at that, but I am trying. I've got two problems: (1) I just came from grad school, so this is how I've been writing for three years, and habits die hard.
ChaosBorders wrote:What school did you go to and what major did you do there? For all of us business majors at UT, they made it quite clear we need to break any habits regarding wordiness and such developed during high school. I still have not managed to entirely do so. :|
My undergrad at UNC was a bit more practically oriented. It was a mix of economics and religious studies with heavy coursework in philosophy and political science. Economics tended toward clarity, political science was on the fence, and philosophy and religious studies were much more complex. Grad school was at Duke where I got an M.div. The reading was typically complex. It's a habit I've learned to break in preaching/teaching but not so much in writing. Business majors certainly have a head up there on many of the humanities.

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Post #38

Post by theopoesis »

Goat wrote: It's one thing to speculate about the course of history, and what 'might have', but trying to blow it up to some fantastic metaphysical principle and problem is overkill.

Like I said, the events of having an empire rise and fall is Not in a vacuum, and studying the ebb and flow of human civilizations can provide some interesting information about why things might have happened. However, is that a 'significant truth"?? Not in my opinion.
Just to clarify, Alexander the Great, if I recall, was an example that you provided. I was looking at particular theories as historical developments and then exploring whether such theories could lead us to any "truth." If truth does not exist, then the answer is clearly no for you.

My metaphysical analysis was based on the possibility of saying something true about anything, a possibility which I believe remains open for Christians operating under certain assumptions. If there is no truth, then I believe my point is established regardless, and in a more dramatic fashion than I had intended or expected.

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Post #39

Post by ChaosBorders »

theopoesis wrote:
Goat wrote: It's one thing to speculate about the course of history, and what 'might have', but trying to blow it up to some fantastic metaphysical principle and problem is overkill.

Like I said, the events of having an empire rise and fall is Not in a vacuum, and studying the ebb and flow of human civilizations can provide some interesting information about why things might have happened. However, is that a 'significant truth"?? Not in my opinion.
Just to clarify, Alexander the Great, if I recall, was an example that you provided. I was looking at particular theories as historical developments and then exploring whether such theories could lead us to any "truth." If truth does not exist, then the answer is clearly no for you.

My metaphysical analysis was based on the possibility of saying something true about anything, a possibility which I believe remains open for Christians operating under certain assumptions. If there is no truth, then I believe my point is established regardless, and in a more dramatic fashion than I had intended or expected.
Sadly I'll have to respond to the other post at a later time given that I have a final in five hours : But I do not think Goat's assertion is there is not truth, but rather that it does not mean anything to call any particular truth 'significant'. I could be mistaken about that.

Presumably he means in an objective sense of the word, given that subjectively some truths are obviously of greater significance than others, depending upon the context.

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Post #40

Post by theopoesis »

ChaosBorders wrote: I have a final in five hours :
Good luck. If your posts here are any indication, you'll dominate it. Also, thanks for being a translator on this thread.

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