The explanatory logic of evolution, at least as it's commonly stated, fails because it assumes (wrongly) that what is true of the parts of a complex system may be validly inferred to hold for the whole as well. Thus my argument:
1. Evolution posits that the function of any complex biological system can be adequately explained as the accumulation of countless minor functional adaptations of its individual components.
2. To say that a characteristic of the whole system can be adequately explained in terms of a characteristic of its individual components is to say that a whole is equal to the sum of its parts.
3. To say that a whole is equal to the sum of its parts is to commit the fallacy of composition.
4. Evolution is a fallacy.
Note that I am not suggesting that all inferences from parts to whole fail to hold, but that the line of reasoning is fallacious on its face because in fact many such inferences do fail to hold. Given that specifiably complex biological systems are structurally heterogenous, there is no prima facie reason to think that what is true of the parts will be true of the whole. Evolution theorists therefore bear the burden of proof, namely, to explain why anyone should expect such an inference to hold in the case of specifiably complex systems.
Read the entire paper here:
https://www.academia.edu/38735629/Black ... lly_Flawed
Questions for debate: Is evolutionary theory a fallacy? If so, does that make it false?
Why Evolutionary Theory Is Fundamentally Flawed
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Why Evolutionary Theory Is Fundamentally Flawed
Post #1Extraordinary evidence requires extraordinary claims.
Awaiting refutations of the overwhelming arguments and evidence for Christian theism.
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Awaiting refutations of the overwhelming arguments and evidence for Christian theism.
Transcending Proof
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Post #111
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Perhaps it would be useful to emphasize the term ‘Natural Selection’, which is likely to be less confusing or threatening to many people.
Perhaps it would be useful to emphasize the term ‘Natural Selection’, which is likely to be less confusing or threatening to many people.
A very simple explanation, with pictures and few big words https://evolution.berkeley.edu/evolibra ... cle/evo_25Natural selection – process that results in the adaptation of an organism to its environment by means of selectively reproducing changes in its genotype, or genetic constitution.
In natural selection, those variations in the genotype that increase an organism’s chances of survival and procreation are preserved and multiplied from generation to generation at the expense of less advantageous ones. Evolution often occurs as a consequence of this process. Natural selection may arise from differences in survival, in fertility, in rate of development, in mating success, or in any other aspect of the life cycle. All such differences result in natural selection to the extent that they affect the number of progeny an organism leaves.
Gene frequencies tend to remain constant from generation to generation when disturbing factors are not present. Factors that disturb the natural equilibrium of gene frequencies include mutation, migration (or gene flow), random genetic drift, and natural selection. A mutation is a spontaneous change in the gene frequency that takes place in a population and occurs at a low rate. Migration is a local change in gene frequency when an individual moves from one population to another and then interbreeds. Random genetic drift is a change that takes place from one generation to another by a process of pure chance. Mutation, migration, and genetic drift alter gene frequencies without regard to whether such changes increase or decrease the likelihood of an organism surviving and reproducing in its environment. They are all random processes.
Natural selection moderates the disorganizing effects of these processes because it multiplies the incidence of beneficial mutations over the generations and eliminates harmful ones, since their carriers leave few or no descendants. Natural selection enhances the preservation of a group of organisms that are best adjusted to the physical and biological conditions of their environment and may also result in their improvement in some cases. Some characteristics, such as the male peacock’s tail, actually decrease the individual organism’s chance of survival. To explain such anomalies, Darwin posed a theory of “sexual selection.� In contrast to features that result from natural selection, a structure produced by sexual selection results in an advantage in the competition for mates.
https://www.britannica.com/science/natural-selection
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Post #112
I'm not arguing that there is an ideal. What I'm saying is that evolution functions as if there was an ideal. Why? Because the ideal skull (or very near it) emerges anyhow. Whether this ideal is there or not, evolution attains it. And it does so again and again. Adherents of ToE would say that this ideal is an emergent property of chance events and natural selection. I'm not talking about working towards an ideal. I'm saying that the ideal is arrived at which or whether.DrNoGods wrote:Why would they be "harder to find by random means"? There is no end design goal so there cannot be any situation where things are getting closer to some final, optimum design. That whole concept is not at all part of ToE. You're assuming that there is some final, optimum design that evolution is working towards, and the closer it gets the fewer changes are needed to complete this final design, and so finding these random changes is therefore more difficult and less likely. But that is not how it works. The premise that there is some optimum design target or goal s wrong ... there isn't such a thing.
"Why would they be harder to find by random means?" Let's rephrase that and say they are less likely to be arrived at by random/chance events. Why? Because they are so exacting and so detailed only the most select mutations will achieve them. The nth refinements of the skull are detailed 'micro sculpting' on little a very small scale. So the chances of random events finding these details are diminished the more detailed they are.
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Post #113
[Replying to post 110 by mgb]
I still don't get this concept of an "ideal." Bodily structures and subsystems evolve based on functional requirements. Eyes need to be laterally displaced to achieve binocular vision and depth perception. The brain needs an unbroken, single volume to house itself. Nose and mouth need air flow passages for clearance to the lungs, and similarly for all the other internal interconnections, muscles, signal pathways, etc. The skull evolved to encase all of this stuff and position things as they were needed for functionality, and we ended up with the skull shape we have today. Genes and signalling proteins ensure that this same basic shape appears in offspring.
Adherents of ToE would discard this concept of an "ideal" and say that the skull evolved via DNA changes and natural selection because it is functional and solves the problem of locating the various components (brain, eyes, mouth, etc.) properly (in a spatial sense), and protects them via its overall shape, thickness, material, etc. It happened to end up in a specific, present-day shape for each animal, but this is because these shapes are efficient, functionally, for that animal including things like sexual selection which may impact the shape in addition to the primary functional requirements the skull solves.
It doesn't work that way. Again, you're describing this as if there is some ideal, final shape that is a target, and the closer evolution gets to this the more precise the mutations have to be to do the "micro sculpting." The last mutation creating the most recent change (whatever that may be) is no more or less likely than the first mutation creating some much earlier, possibly more "coarse" change in the skull evolution. The whole idea that mutations creating smaller changes later in time are harder to come by than any earlier mutations is simply wrong. There is no fine tuning towards some final goal for a skull shape. Once the overall shape is in place and functional, there may be some small change that improves functionality and natural selection would select for that if it appeared (by chance). But the probability of this happening for some small, later "fine tuning" change is exactly the same as some much earlier change related to a possibly more coarse feature.
I'm not arguing that there is an ideal. What I'm saying is that evolution functions as if there was an ideal.
I still don't get this concept of an "ideal." Bodily structures and subsystems evolve based on functional requirements. Eyes need to be laterally displaced to achieve binocular vision and depth perception. The brain needs an unbroken, single volume to house itself. Nose and mouth need air flow passages for clearance to the lungs, and similarly for all the other internal interconnections, muscles, signal pathways, etc. The skull evolved to encase all of this stuff and position things as they were needed for functionality, and we ended up with the skull shape we have today. Genes and signalling proteins ensure that this same basic shape appears in offspring.
Adherents of ToE would say that this ideal is an emergent property of chance events and natural selection.
Adherents of ToE would discard this concept of an "ideal" and say that the skull evolved via DNA changes and natural selection because it is functional and solves the problem of locating the various components (brain, eyes, mouth, etc.) properly (in a spatial sense), and protects them via its overall shape, thickness, material, etc. It happened to end up in a specific, present-day shape for each animal, but this is because these shapes are efficient, functionally, for that animal including things like sexual selection which may impact the shape in addition to the primary functional requirements the skull solves.
Because they are so exacting and so detailed only the most select mutations will achieve them. The nth refinements of the skull are detailed 'micro sculpting' on little a very small scale. So the chances of random events finding these details are diminished the more detailed they are.
It doesn't work that way. Again, you're describing this as if there is some ideal, final shape that is a target, and the closer evolution gets to this the more precise the mutations have to be to do the "micro sculpting." The last mutation creating the most recent change (whatever that may be) is no more or less likely than the first mutation creating some much earlier, possibly more "coarse" change in the skull evolution. The whole idea that mutations creating smaller changes later in time are harder to come by than any earlier mutations is simply wrong. There is no fine tuning towards some final goal for a skull shape. Once the overall shape is in place and functional, there may be some small change that improves functionality and natural selection would select for that if it appeared (by chance). But the probability of this happening for some small, later "fine tuning" change is exactly the same as some much earlier change related to a possibly more coarse feature.
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Re: "failed-theory Darwinians"
Post #114It's not clear why you still think that though. Your original reasoning seemed to have been: there wasn't enough time, but the time part is resolved by chance + selection. So what other reason do you have left to think the mutations required exceedes chance?mgb wrote: I know that. But selection has no effect unless 'mutations' come up with the goodies in the first place. No mutations no selection. The point with regard to the whales is all the different body parts got what they needed in a way the exceeds what chance mutations would provide. That they all got what they needed almost simultaneously is what exceedes chance. That is what the roll of the dice is illustrating.
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Re: "failed-theory Darwinians"
Post #115Right, which is why we proposed another solution: that members of a new "homo" species with locking knee joints can reproduce with members of whatever parent species that had fully formed partially locking knee joints that function properly with all the component in working order, which is well supported by the fossil record.John Human wrote: The problem is with the definition of species, including inability to mate and produce fertile offspring with the parent species. The essential question is what is involved with speciation events. Failed-theory Darwinianism presupposes that (for example) members of a new "homo" species with locking knee joints (in all their complexity) can reproduce with members of whatever parent species (nobody knows) that presumably (as required by Darwinian dogma) had partially formed locking knee joints (incrementally approaching the fully formed feature, which can't function properly unless all the component parts are in working order), which would appear to be an evolutionary absurdity, as well as unsupported by the fossil record.
That's the same thing as what I said above, I am not seeing the distinction that require I to pick one or the other.Or perhaps you could go with the mutation pipe-dream, where a random mutation magically made a fully-formed locking knee joint appear without a speciation event, and this "caught on" over the generations by means of natural selection.
Why do you think a mutation to get from a a fully-formed locking knee joint from a prior iteration of a knee joint would require any magic?The problem is, there is simply no evidence to support such a fairy tale, and no evidence to support the Darwinian hallucination of a fully-formed locking knee joint magically appearing through a random chance mutation.
You say that like it's a bad thing. Unscientific individuals should be ostracized.Failed-theory Darwinianism was all but dead in the early 20th century, until the discovery of genetic mutation allowed for its zombification, and the failed theory rose from the grave to eat the minds of later generations of graduate students, who must accept the pseudo-religious Darwinian dogma if the want to avoid being ostracized.
Right, becasse incorrect thinking is somehow better?Some readers of this post might not know what a "tenure battle" is: infighting within a university department -- perhaps for a decade or more -- to make sure that tenure is only extended to professors who hold certain views. The pressure to conform in graduate schools is amplified by the need for aspiring professors to show "correct thinking" as they consider their potential career paths.
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Re: "failed-theory Darwinians"
Post #116All the body parts get what they needed at more or less the same time. It is the difference between getting a 6 on a dice and getting 10 6s on 10 dice simultaneously. What are the chances of all body parts getting the right mutations at the same time? (I'm speaking about the article on whales here)Bust Nak wrote:It's not clear why you still think that though. Your original reasoning seemed to have been: there wasn't enough time, but the time part is resolved by chance + selection. So what other reason do you have left to think the mutations required exceedes chance?mgb wrote: I know that. But selection has no effect unless 'mutations' come up with the goodies in the first place. No mutations no selection. The point with regard to the whales is all the different body parts got what they needed in a way the exceeds what chance mutations would provide. That they all got what they needed almost simultaneously is what exceedes chance. That is what the roll of the dice is illustrating.
Last edited by mgb on Wed May 22, 2019 10:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Post #117
I don't think so. There are many many 'coarse' skulls that would do fine. There are less skulls that are ideal. The skull is a very precisely made thing. It is less likely than the many coarse skulls that would do just as well.DrNoGods wrote:The whole idea that mutations creating smaller changes later in time are harder to come by than any earlier mutations is simply wrong. There is no fine tuning towards some final goal for a skull shape. Once the overall shape is in place and functional, there may be some small change that improves functionality and natural selection would select for that if it appeared (by chance). But the probability of this happening for some small, later "fine tuning" change is exactly the same as some much earlier change related to a possibly more coarse feature.
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Re: "failed-theory Darwinians"
Post #118[Replying to post 114 by mgb]
The probability of getting a 6 on one roll of a dice is 1/6. The probability of rolling 10 dice and getting 10 6's is (1/6)^10 = 1.65e-8. But with 1 million groups of 10 people (ie. a large population) all rolling their dice at the same time, the probability that one group rolls 10 6's is 0.0165 or 1 in 61. Far more likely to happen.
This is the key point you are missing. These mutations can happen to any individual within the population and spread throughout it (via reproduction cycles) if beneficial. So all of the members of the population are available for mutations ... not just one individual who must accumulate all the mutations themselves.
It is the difference between getting a 6 on a dice and getting 10 6s on 10 dice simultaneously. What are the chances of all body parts getting the right mutations at the same time?
The probability of getting a 6 on one roll of a dice is 1/6. The probability of rolling 10 dice and getting 10 6's is (1/6)^10 = 1.65e-8. But with 1 million groups of 10 people (ie. a large population) all rolling their dice at the same time, the probability that one group rolls 10 6's is 0.0165 or 1 in 61. Far more likely to happen.
This is the key point you are missing. These mutations can happen to any individual within the population and spread throughout it (via reproduction cycles) if beneficial. So all of the members of the population are available for mutations ... not just one individual who must accumulate all the mutations themselves.
In human affairs the sources of success are ever to be found in the fountains of quick resolve and swift stroke; and it seems to be a law, inflexible and inexorable, that he who will not risk cannot win.
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Post #119
[Replying to post 115 by mgb]
Again ... what do you mean by "ideal"? The phrase "form follows function" is often applicable to features created by slow evolution over time. The particular shape of a skull at any point in time is what serves the purpose at that time, but there is no drive towards some intentional "ideal" shape.
But that wasn't the point. The point was that mutations early on in skull development when it may have been at a coarse stage are no more or less probable than the last few mutations that did the "fine sculpting"as you call it. It really isn't fine sculpting though, as that implies a design goal and evolution has no design goal.
There are less skulls that are ideal.
Again ... what do you mean by "ideal"? The phrase "form follows function" is often applicable to features created by slow evolution over time. The particular shape of a skull at any point in time is what serves the purpose at that time, but there is no drive towards some intentional "ideal" shape.
It is less likely than the many coarse skulls that would do just as well.
But that wasn't the point. The point was that mutations early on in skull development when it may have been at a coarse stage are no more or less probable than the last few mutations that did the "fine sculpting"as you call it. It really isn't fine sculpting though, as that implies a design goal and evolution has no design goal.
In human affairs the sources of success are ever to be found in the fountains of quick resolve and swift stroke; and it seems to be a law, inflexible and inexorable, that he who will not risk cannot win.
John Paul Jones, 1779
The man who does not read has no advantage over the man who cannot read.
Mark Twain
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The man who does not read has no advantage over the man who cannot read.
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Re: "failed-theory Darwinians"
Post #120But even if there are millions of individuals we must still multiply chances.DrNoGods wrote: [Replying to post 114 by mgb]
It is the difference between getting a 6 on a dice and getting 10 6s on 10 dice simultaneously. What are the chances of all body parts getting the right mutations at the same time?
The probability of getting a 6 on one roll of a dice is 1/6. The probability of rolling 10 dice and getting 10 6's is (1/6)^10 = 1.65e-8. But with 1 million groups of 10 people (ie. a large population) all rolling their dice at the same time, the probability that one group rolls 10 6's is 0.0165 or 1 in 61. Far more likely to happen.
This is the key point you are missing. These mutations can happen to any individual within the population and spread throughout it (via reproduction cycles) if beneficial. So all of the members of the population are available for mutations ... not just one individual who must accumulate all the mutations themselves.
My argument is that even though there are millions of individuals that don't amount to a hill o'beans when compared to the immense complexities we are talking about.
Another problem with evolution by chance changes is that you would have to have innumerable mass extinctions just to evolve one species. Suppose some guy gets some mutations that make him run faster. How long would it take for his kind to proliferate over, say, the continent of Africa? How many generations? If there's another guy 1000 miles away he is not going to go extinct just because the other guy can run faster! Even if there are individuals getting different advantages throughout the population it would still take too many generations for the rest to go extinct and for them to dominate because, according to the theory, changes are small and painfully slow. If evolution is incremental on this small scale it would take forever for the ones with slight advantages to dominate. Many generations. But how long have mammals existed? Only millions of years.