Beto wrote:I think you depart from the basic assumption that a 757 hit the Pentagon, but without independent verification of this,
Plane parts show a plane, it seems the wheel hubs as seen can be identified as a 757.
This assumption is as valid a priori as the assumption that no 757 hit the Pentagon.
Hmm. It is possible to identify at least one plane part as a 757. And it is possible to identify plane parts, the picture I cropped and edited shows an object that is to big to be anything else other than a plane, therefore any theory that says a plane did not hit the pentagon has to demonstrate itself first by showing there is some thing wrong with what we see in the pictures… and this is by and large the first argument of the conspiracy theory, and on this point the theory falls flat.
If the conspiracy theory says a plane hit the pentagon but not flight 77, then that is different, but that is not the thrust of the conspiracy theory.
The "official liner" will not argue about how they are NOT obviously planted,
…..because they are not…and you only need to be agnostic to argue that.
he will assume the pictures don't show a conspiracy and stop there,
I’m trying to assume nothing other than what I see in the pictures, and a rudimentary understanding of physics, and apply what I think to be a more rigorous analysis of what I see than that offered by the conspiracy theorists. For example, there are too many variables to draw the conclusion that the Faram debris was planted. You don’t need to assume official line or conspiracy to recognize that is the case. You may like to see the debris as a plant but you can’t get there from what you see in the picture or the nature of the event that lead up to the picture being taken….unless you are a priori assuming the debris is a plant. It is the kind of thinking that says the Faram debris is a smoking gun is what I’m saying is a conclusion stacked on a wobbly set of variables that do not support that conclusion. And this is why I am uber skeptical of the conspiracy theory.
I think to some degree we have been talking at cross purposes, you are keen to show a conspiracy, I am keen to show what exactly is in the pictures, what is not in the pictures, and what we can conclude safely from what we see in the pictures…..and if you check my posts that has been a conscious line of argument I have been trying to follow.
because the basic assumption supports it, but is as devoid of independent confirmation as the conspiracy. The conspiracy theorist's basic assumption emerges from all the circumstantial evidence, which to him is an overwhelming indication that the initial assumption is correct.
Well not really, that may be true for you Beto, but you started by posting pictures of the outline of a 757 superimposed over the façade of the Pentagon, and a major thrust of the internet contribution to the conspiracy theory has been the pictures as if they demonstrate a conspiracy……they don’t.
You claim conspiracy theorists have to prove their case, and show the evidence is planted or doctored, when to me,
Well I did not word things quite as strongly as that. I said they have to prove their case is worth something, and by that I really had in mind not stacking a conclusion upon a set of variables that cannot be tied down. The theory would be worth something if theorists stopped over estimating by several factors the strength of the picture evidence in their favor.
official liners also have to demonstrate how the evidence is not obviously planted or doctored,
No. We only have to say what we see in the pictures and offer a reasonable analysis of what we see to show that the official line is reasonable. We do that by looking at what we see and concluding we see plane parts, we see a crash scene consistent with a plane hitting the Pentagon, we see a wheel hub identifiably as a 757 wheel hub, and we look at the CCTV footage and see a plane size object, therefore given all this it is only reasonable to conclude that the evidence supports the point that a plane hit the pentagon, and a 757 at that. This argument is sufficient to show that the conspiracy theorists have way more work to do to make their case even look close to a reasonable analysis of the pictures.
The conspiracy theorist's basic assumption emerges from all the circumstantial evidence, which to him is an overwhelming indication that the initial assumption is correct.
If you have other consideration pressing in on how you want to see the pictures evidence that is perfectly acceptable, however, I am resisting the same point over and over, and that is there is nothing in the pictures that supports a conspiracy theory. If I were an alien that just landed on Earth and was shown the pictures I’d say one of your Earth planes just hit that building….all we see is stuff consistent with a plane strike. Maybe that is a good way of looking at the problem. If we were to present the pictures and CCTV footage, pictures of other 757s, and our separate cases to the an alien, and asked him to decide what the pictures show, and what if anything is wrong with the pcitures, from where I'm sitting he can only reach one conclusion.
Up until now, you have not established any certainty, and only attempted to demonstrate that the pictures and footage reveal none as well.
This is what I think is certain:
- CCTV footage shows object to large to be anything other than a plane.
Pictures show plane parts including a 757 wheel hub.
The gross features of the crash site are consistent with plane crash.
The Faram debris is not a smoking gun for a conspiracy.
So who's making the claims? We both are. The burden of proof rests on both of us.
I can only prove what is in the pictures i.e. plane parts. I can demonstrate the gross features of the site to be consistent with plane crash and have done so. I can link you to a site that shows the wheel hub belongs to a 757. I can show the cctv object is too big etc. Conversely: in favor of the conspiracy you have demonstrated nothing.
Without independent investigations, you're as liable to demonstrate the evidence isn't doctored, as I am to demonstrate it is.
If the evidence is doctored then it is doctored, but there is nothing in the pictures that supports the doctored theory.
Now, I've tried to show things I perceive as either improbable or impossible, from the available pictures and footage, some of which were released by the accused party. You may think all you need to do is demonstrate reasonable doubt, but I don't think that is the case.
The only item I fall back to the question of reasonable doubt is the Faram debris, the rest I have put forward arguments that you have not refuted. Arguments regarding momentum, reduced volume explosion, objects traveling on mass act like a liquid, we should not expect to see impact damage to the lawn out front of the Pentagon, they are arguments that are open to be refuted if you have a better analysis of the physics; all the arguments I have given show why your original expectations of what the Pentagon crash scene should look like were unrealistic.
You may think all you need to do is demonstrate reasonable doubt, but I don't think that is the case.
Except forthe FAram Debris the argument is way stronger than reasonable doubt.