A Deluge of Evidence for the Flood?

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LittlePig
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A Deluge of Evidence for the Flood?

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otseng wrote:
goat wrote:
otseng wrote:
LittlePig wrote: And I can't think of any reason you would make the comment you made if you weren't suggesting that the find favored your view of a worldwide flood.
Umm, because simply it's a better explanation? And the fact that it's more consistent with the Flood Model doesn't hurt either. ;)
Except, of course, it isn't consistent with a 'Flood Model', since it isn't mixed in with any animals that we know are modern.
Before the rabbits multiply beyond control, I'll just leave my proposal as a rapid burial. Nothing more than that. For this thread, it can just be a giant mud slide.
Since it's still spring time, let's let the rabbits multiply.

Questions for Debate:

1) Does a Global Flood Model provide the best explanation for our current fossil record, geologic formations, and biodiversity?

2) What real science is used in Global Flood Models?

3) What predictions does a Global Flood Model make?

4) Have Global Flood Models ever been subjected to a formal peer review process?
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Post #761

Post by otseng »

micatala wrote:As I have pointed out, the assumptions have been checked using ongoing observations and that each dating method has been checked against multiple other dating methods.
How about this? You all can provide your closing case for ice cores and I'll then give my closing case on ice cores.
So far, we have had essentially no evidence at all to support many of the FM assumptions, including that the "chambers of the deep" ever existed, or that the proposed mechanism for creating continental plate movement works
I would disagree that no evidence has been presented that subterranean water chambers existed. I've provided evidence that in the Kola Superdeep borehole that water has been found at a depth of 40,000 ft. Since the chambers have collapsed and would not exist now, indirect evidence can only be provided.
We have no evidence a vapor canopy ever existed. We do have evidence (from ice cores predominantly!!!) that climate was different in the past than today, but no evidence a vapor canopy existed or was necessary to produce these climactic changes.
The water vapor canopy would be pre-flood, so it would not be in the same timeframe as the ice cap formation.

The vapor canopy is only proposed to explain the dramatic climate difference before the flood and after the flood.

http://debatingchristianity.com/forum/v ... 508#251508
And here is another one:
Fossil DNA Proves Greenland Once Had Lush Forests; Ice Sheet Is Surprisingly Stable

The question is how can this be explained? The FM proposes an explanation for this with the water vapor canopy.
Remember the thread is partly about which model better explains what we see. If we do not expect the same level of evidence for the different models, if we give the assumptions and speculations upon which the FM is based a free pass or an easy pass, and yet skip over or downplay evidence for the SG, then we are going to get an extremely skewed view regarding which model is better.
I would agree.
The problem is we have offered a variety of predictions but they have not met your arbitrary standard of being "global predictions" but rather, have been predictions concerning what we would find under particular conditions. It has been pointed out repeatedly that your standard is not necessary, and not the kind of prediction that is typically made.
I don't think my standards are arbitrary. OK, I'll ask this then, at the Grand Canyon, what would SG predict that we should see?
But then you need to explain how the techtonic movements that created the supergroup occurred without the mechanism you proposed as part of the FM.
What I propose is that the tectonic force that caused the tilting of the supergroup is from the initial splitting of the crust.
Grumpy wrote:We've gone through your dishonesty in making such statements more than once. I'm tired of such blatant untruths and so will not bother to go through the arguments again. You should retract and appologize for making this totally false statement yet again.
We've covered this many times. I realize that what you've said is that SG can only make a prediction for a particular location.

So, let me ask this then. Since we're going back to the Grand Canyon now, what would the SG predict how the geological record should look like at this location?

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Post #762

Post by micatala »

otseng wrote:
micatala wrote:As I have pointed out, the assumptions have been checked using ongoing observations and that each dating method has been checked against multiple other dating methods.
How about this? You all can provide your closing case for ice cores and I'll then give my closing case on ice cores.
Agreed. However, be prepared for a very long post with many links.
otseng wrote:
So far, we have had essentially no evidence at all to support many of the FM assumptions, including that the "chambers of the deep" ever existed, or that the proposed mechanism for creating continental plate movement works
I would disagree that no evidence has been presented that subterranean water chambers existed. I've provided evidence that in the Kola Superdeep borehole that water has been found at a depth of 40,000 ft. Since the chambers have collapsed and would not exist now, indirect evidence can only be provided.
Yes, I acknowledge this was presented. However, this still counts as "essentially no evidence" that the chambers of the deep ever existed. This evidence by itself would never lead one even to the hypothesis that there were "chambers of the deep." At best, it is one piece of evidence that could be considered consistent with the hypothetical chambers.


We could just as easily say the Kola borehole is evidence that earth has a liquid core, or that rocks have the capacity to excrete water, or that water has the capacity to spontaneously generate in a given location out of nothing.


To be a good model, the model has to be consistent with ALL the evidence, not isolated phenomenon. I have said before that one can find isolated phenomenon or facts that are consistent with almost any model one can imagine.

otseng wrote:
micatala wrote:We have no evidence a vapor canopy ever existed. We do have evidence (from ice cores predominantly!!!) that climate was different in the past than today, but no evidence a vapor canopy existed or was necessary to produce these climactic changes.
The water vapor canopy would be pre-flood, so it would not be in the same timeframe as the ice cap formation.

The vapor canopy is only proposed to explain the dramatic climate difference before the flood and after the flood.

http://debatingchristianity.com/forum/v ... 508#251508
And here is another one:
Fossil DNA Proves Greenland Once Had Lush Forests; Ice Sheet Is Surprisingly Stable

The question is how can this be explained? The FM proposes an explanation for this with the water vapor canopy.

I agree, a water canopy could explain a warmer climate in the past. But now you are confusing "evidence for" with "consequence of." Now, I would agree that having a model which makes a prediction that turns out to be true provides a certain amount of evidence for the model.

However, this is different than evidence which actually suggest the existence of the water canopy.

Also, quite a bit of evidence was presented that any significant "water canopy" is physically impossible, or would have hugely catastrophic consequences on the earth.

If A explains B but is inconistent with D, E, and F then it doesn't matter if A explains B.

Remember the thread is partly about which model better explains what we see. If we do not expect the same level of evidence for the different models, if we give the assumptions and speculations upon which the FM is based a free pass or an easy pass, and yet skip over or downplay evidence for the SG, then we are going to get an extremely skewed view regarding which model is better.
I would agree.
Very good.
The problem is we have offered a variety of predictions but they have not met your arbitrary standard of being "global predictions" but rather, have been predictions concerning what we would find under particular conditions. It has been pointed out repeatedly that your standard is not necessary, and not the kind of prediction that is typically made.
I don't think my standards are arbitrary. OK, I'll ask this then, at the Grand Canyon, what would SG predict that we should see?
Again, I think we have some misunderstandings concerning the SG and science in general.

What the SG does for us, with respect to the grand canyon, is it allows us to explain why the grand canyon is the way it is. Based on what we see, we can discern what processes layed down certain layers, what life existed at that time, how old a given layer is, etc.

Now, we could use the SG to explain what would happen in a particular area if a certain sequence of forces or other geological events occurred. We could probably come up with a number of scenarios under which the grand canyon would form.

In fact, there is some uncertainty about some of the aspects of its formation. Here is SG explanation, cited on page 58.

See http://www.bobspixels.com/kaibab.or ... _geol.htm


I'll get to the next website and its discussion of fossils soon.
http://www.t-rat.com/Pages/GeologicalHi ... nyon.html
I have since found some information in print that will amplify this.






But then you need to explain how the techtonic movements that created the supergroup occurred without the mechanism you proposed as part of the FM.
What I propose is that the tectonic force that caused the tilting of the supergroup is from the initial splitting of the crust.
Where is the split that supposedly produced this tilting? So far, I only recall reference to an alleged water created split along the mid-Atlantic ridge.

Where is the evidence that water splitting the crust from below can cause such phenomenon in the first place?











To close, I will make a couple more comments on the use of models. Some of this has been noted before.

Scientific models are created on the basis of data, not in the abstract. The SG came to be what it is today because of what geologists were finding in the field. It has been adapted as addtional data has been collected and as additional investigative techniques (e.g. radiometric dating) have been developed.

Now, once one does have a model, one does consider what predictions can be made. I have allowed we could do this for either the FM or the SG. If a model has a statement X as an unavoidable consquence and X is true, that provides support for the model. If a whole bunch of such X's are true, we get more confidence in the model.

If one X is incontrovertibly false, we must adapt or discard the model.


Looking only for predictions of a model that happen to be true is a backwards way of doing science . Scientists would always look first for ways to falsify the model, and they would especially consider first the easiest predictions to falsify. This only makes sense, as they would not want to waste time considering a model which other scientists would be able to falsify.


You have focused on the "global predictions" the FM makes and tried to insist the SG make the same kind of prediction. It has been pointed out that it is not necessary for valid scientific theories to produce these kinds of global predictions. The most important criterion for a scientific model is that it be consistent with all the data that we have.






Now, I had thought that the ice cores would provide evidence that no one could dispute that a global flood never occurred. Since we have left that subject (save our closing arguments) I will move onto the next sure fire FM killer.

Fossils.
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Post #763

Post by micatala »

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Grumpy wrote:
Yes, I have offered my prediction for what SG should make. I realize that you all do not accept my prediction. But I have not seen a counter prediction. Or if it was presented, I missed it.
We've gone through your dishonesty in making such statements more than once. I'm tired of such blatant untruths and so will not bother to go through the arguments again. You should retract and appologize for making this totally false statement yet again.



Grumpy 8-)
You can make this point without making the accusation of dishonesty. Such accusations make inferences either about the motivation or the thinking of the other poster and so are best simply left unsaid, regardless of how justified you think they are.
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Post #764

Post by nygreenguy »

Screw it all. Im going to make a "how the flood was physically impossible" thread.

Id like to direct it at osteng though, and ask an on topic question.

As I understand it, you dont take the time frame literally, correct? So, it could have been anytime in the past 100,000 years? Also, was it totally global? How long was everything flooded? Were all the animals on the ark? AND how old do you believe the earth to be?

Im not trying to "trap" anyone, I want to, like I said, direct my post at osteng but dont want to totally strawman him so knowing more of his actual position will help me.

Thanks.

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Post #765

Post by otseng »

micatala wrote: Yes, I acknowledge this was presented. However, this still counts as "essentially no evidence" that the chambers of the deep ever existed. This evidence by itself would never lead one even to the hypothesis that there were "chambers of the deep." At best, it is one piece of evidence that could be considered consistent with the hypothetical chambers.
I would agree that this one evidence is not sufficient to demonstrate that the underground chambers existed.
To be a good model, the model has to be consistent with ALL the evidence, not isolated phenomenon.
I would also agree.
I agree, a water canopy could explain a warmer climate in the past. But now you are confusing "evidence for" with "consequence of." Now, I would agree that having a model which makes a prediction that turns out to be true provides a certain amount of evidence for the model.
To clarify, I'm not presenting the water canopy as "evidence" for the flood. Rather, it is only a proposed mechanism to account for a uniform climate. Further, I was not the one to even bring up the water canopy in the first place. And it's not really an integral part of the FM since it has little contribution to a worldwide flood. Rather, it was brought up by others as a strawman argument that a water canopy could not have enough water to flood the entire Earth.
What the SG does for us, with respect to the grand canyon, is it allows us to explain why the grand canyon is the way it is. Based on what we see, we can discern what processes layed down certain layers, what life existed at that time, how old a given layer is, etc.
Yes, I would grant that the SG has explanatory power. (Though I would differ in opinion of its strength.)

The main reason I ask for a prediction of the Grand Canyon area is Grumpy's statements:

"Geologists can make many predictions about what can be found in a specific area,"
http://debatingchristianity.com/forum/v ... 642#257642

"You will have to chose a particular area to discuss before either of us can make any meaningful predictions about it. Otherwise any detailed predictions made are meaningless. All that can be predicted is that all of the layers that are present will be segregated by age as will any fossil evidence contained within them."
http://debatingchristianity.com/forum/v ... 734#257734

"the SG can make predictions GIVEN THE HISTORY AND FORCES INVOLVED IN THE SPECIFIC AREA IN QUESTION."
http://debatingchristianity.com/forum/v ... 563#259563
Where is the split that supposedly produced this tilting? So far, I only recall reference to an alleged water created split along the mid-Atlantic ridge.
The crack location would be along the entire oceanic ridge. The break would cause the entire crust to move and be the source of the tectonic force to disrupt pre-existing rocks.
Scientific models are created on the basis of data, not in the abstract.
Of course. Models are based on observed data. However, the FM is not simply based on an abstract concept, but based on observed data.

The purpose of this thread is not to cover what are the data that leads to the formation of the FM. So, that has not been presented in this thread. But, if anyone is interested in it, Walt Brown's site (and book) presents it in-depth.
Now, once one does have a model, one does consider what predictions can be made. I have allowed we could do this for either the FM or the SG. If a model has a statement X as an unavoidable consquence and X is true, that provides support for the model. If a whole bunch of such X's are true, we get more confidence in the model.

If one X is incontrovertibly false, we must adapt or discard the model.
Certainly.
Looking only for predictions of a model that happen to be true is a backwards way of doing science.
Several points on this. I disagree that SG "happens to be true". It is fundamentally a theory, not a statement of fact. Also, for a model to be accepted, it must have at one time had predictions to test and confirm the model.
The most important criterion for a scientific model is that it be consistent with all the data that we have.
I would agree that it is very important. However, predictions is one of the issues of the OP so that is why I harp on the issue.
I will move onto the next sure fire FM killer.

Fossils.
I think we'll be able to spend quite some time on that as well.

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Post #766

Post by otseng »

nygreenguy wrote:Im going to make a "how the flood was physically impossible" thread.
You are free to do so, but I'll continue my presentation of the flood here.
As I understand it, you dont take the time frame literally, correct?
What I've claimed is:
So, my claim would be somewhere on the order of tens of thousands of years. Could be less than 10,000 years ago on the low end. But it could not be more than 100,000 years ago on the high end.
I've also added that I lean towards the 10,000 year timeframe.
Also, was it totally global?
Of course.
How long was everything flooded?
On the order of months, around the one year timeframe.
Were all the animals on the ark?
All non-aquatic animals were on the ark.
AND how old do you believe the earth to be?
On the order of tens of thousands of years old. Certainly not on the order of billions of years old.

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Post #767

Post by nygreenguy »

otseng wrote: You are free to do so, but I'll continue my presentation of the flood here.
Understood, but I would hope you would participate because my thread is a totally different topic, and has nothing to do WITH the evidence, but the evidence which show it to be impossible.

Do you, or anyone else think this thread would be a better choice?

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Post #768

Post by Scotracer »

nygreenguy wrote:
otseng wrote: You are free to do so, but I'll continue my presentation of the flood here.
Understood, but I would hope you would participate because my thread is a totally different topic, and has nothing to do WITH the evidence, but the evidence which show it to be impossible.

Do you, or anyone else think this thread would be a better choice?
In a thread of such a colossal page-count, I'd see it easier to create a new thread then you can easily just link back and forth as necessary to counter evidence for or against the FM.
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Post #769

Post by McCulloch »

nygreenguy wrote:
otseng wrote: You are free to do so, but I'll continue my presentation of the flood here.
Understood, but I would hope you would participate because my thread is a totally different topic, and has nothing to do WITH the evidence, but the evidence which show it to be impossible.

Do you, or anyone else think this thread would be a better choice?
I agree. It seems to me that otseng is missing one of the fundamentals of doing science. It matters not if your model makes good predictions if your model is fundamentally flawed and physically impossible. Real scientists propose models based on evidence and reason and then test those models' predictions. This thread appears to have it backwards. What is the point of reviewing the predictions of an absurd model?
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Post #770

Post by otseng »

nygreenguy wrote:
otseng wrote: You are free to do so, but I'll continue my presentation of the flood here.
Understood, but I would hope you would participate because my thread is a totally different topic, and has nothing to do WITH the evidence, but the evidence which show it to be impossible.

Do you, or anyone else think this thread would be a better choice?
If my fulltime job was just to participate on this forum, I'd have much more freedom to participate in many threads simultaneously. But, since I have a job, family, kids, hobbies, church, exercise, and require sleep, my time is extremely limited. So, I can only participate in one (or at times two) threads.
Scotracer wrote:In a thread of such a colossal page-count, I'd see it easier to create a new thread then you can easily just link back and forth as necessary to counter evidence for or against the FM.
It'd be difficult either way to keep track of everything. And I'd rather follow one thread, than multiple threads. Also, since it is only me arguing against who knows how many, debating in one thread allows me to keep track of everything.
McCulloch wrote:What is the point of reviewing the predictions of an absurd model?
If the OP did not ask for predictions, we would not be talking about it. And if the model is absurd, you are free to present your evidence why it is so.

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