otseng wrote:
Goose wrote:
otseng wrote:Though there has been of course pandemics in the past, as far as I know, this is the first global pandemic that has affected every country in the world.
But why does a larger global scope imply these are the last days when there have been other,
arguably worse, global pandemics in the past?
We are just in the beginning of this pandemic. Though we are seeing areas reopening, it does not mean the pandemic is over.
You aren’t really answering my question. How does a broader global spread imply these are the last days when there have been other, arguably worse, global pandemics in the past? You seemed to suggest a broader global spread was significant. I’m wondering why.
And I agree with what you said here. The pandemic is not over just because there is movement towards reopening the economy. Nor are we past the worst of it necessarily. There could be a second and third (and fourth?) wave which could be worse than the first. But it’s all speculation at this point.
However, areas and businesses opening up does seem to imply that we may have turned a corner for now and begun moving in the direction of economic recovery. That recovery may stall with a second wave. It may not. But it does show, at the very least, a willingness on the part of governments to ease restrictions and plan a move forward toward recovery as soon as they feel it’s safe to do so.
Personally, I expect COVID19 to be with us long term. It’s a part of our reality now. Along with
SARS (remember that one?) and
all the other infectious diseases currently in circulation many of which are far more deadly than COVID19. SARS, by the way, had
estimated death rates ranging from 3.8% to as much as 71% depending on the time and region of calculation. Death rates eventually stabilized to around 15%-17%.
Bad global pandemics are not unprecedented.
The Spanish Flu infected something like 500 million people (about one-third the global population at the time) and killed many millions estimates ranging from 17 million to as much as 100 million deaths.

Look familiar?
The
A/H1N1 Pandemic of 2009 killed an estimated 150,000 - 500,000 people.
The Spanish flu came on the coat tails of WWI. Think about that. Think about the millions of deaths, carnage, and destruction over those few years. The first global war the end of which was overlapped by one of the worst (at least to that point) global pandemics in history. I wonder how many people around that time thought they were seeing the last days unfold before their eyes. Yet, here we are 100 years later.
We'll see over time how this thing progresses.
Of course, enter the adage, time will tell. It's far too early to be making any concrete conclusions.
Myself, I don't subscribe to any particular eschatology belief.
Well you may not formally hold to a particular eschatological
doctrine Otseng, but you certainly seem to have some particular eschatological
beliefs. Not least of which is that you believe we are in the last days.
otseng wrote:I believe we are in the last days in several aspects, and not all of them are religious.
That’s an eschatological belief.
otseng wrote:Yes, I think we are starting to see the fulfillment of the end times according to the Bible.
Mar 13:8 KJV - For nation shall rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom: and there shall be earthquakes in divers places, and there shall be famines and troubles: these are the beginnings of sorrows.
Am I certain Jesus will return soon? I'm starting to be convinced of it.
That’s an interpretation
consistent with futurism. Hence it’s another eschatological belief.
otseng wrote: A passage that describes the beginning of the last days is Matt 24:7.
That’s also an interpretation consistent with futurism and therefore yet another eschatological belief.
The thing is, any thinking Christians holds at least
some eschatological beliefs, even if informally.
Of course there are different beliefs about how the last days will play out, but there is general consensus that there will be a last day.
Well of course there is general consensus that there
will be a last day. But that‘s not saying anything particularly meaningful. I bet we could even find some atheists around here who agree that at some point there will be a proverbial last day whether it be from nuclear war, earth’s collision with a massive meteor, the heat death of the universe, or some other cause. Saying
there will be a last day is something wholly different than saying
we are in the last days.
From the look of things, the way Trump is handling the epidemic now is leading to a serious confrontation with China -- which I don't think will end very well for the US.
What do you mean by “serious confrontation�? Do you mean military confrontation between China and the US? If so, what evidence is there of that? So far, it seems Trump is hastening his ongoing agenda to move America’s supply chain away from China with further tariffs and the like.
It could possibly end up being a military confrontation, but Trump has escalated it from a trade war to a financial war with China by threatening to sue China and not pay their debt holdings.
The trade war between China and the US has been going on for quite some time now. However, earlier this year
China and the US managed to get past their differences and signed phase one of a trade deal. Tensions are high and relations are deteriorating at the moment. A Cold War between China and the US may very well be looming. But that wouldn’t be unprecedented for the US to be in Cold War with a communist country. Let’s not misinterpret financial/trade/legal conflict with a signal of pending military conflict.
Well, Trump says a lot things. At this point it’s all talk and saber rattling. From the second article...
“It's such a crazy idea that anyone who has made it should really have their fitness for office reconsidered,� said Cliff Tan, East Asian head of global markets research at MUFG Bank. “We view this as largely a political ploy for [Donald Trump’s] re-election and a cynical one because it would destroy the financing of the US federal budget deficit.�
And...
�But any move to cancel the debt owed to China – effectively defaulting on it – would be counterproductive to US interests because it would likely destroy investors’ faith in the trustworthiness of the US government to pay its bills, analysts warned.
This would send US interest rates soaring, making borrowing more costly for the government, as well US companies and consumers, and in turn strike a sharp blow to America’s already very weak economy.
The US Treasury two-year yield continued to trade near record low levels this week, suggesting market traders and fund managers are largely shrugging off what is widely seen as a far-fetched idea that the US could cancel some or all of China’s debt.’
Highly unlikely the US will choose to default on its debt obligation to China.
Revelation refers to an army with 200 million troops. If this number is to be taken literally, this most likely would refer to China.
Why would it most likely be China? And Revelations shouldn’t be taken
literally without some good reasons. Revelations is known to be an apocalyptic genre.
All I'm saying is
if it's to be taken literally, it would most likely refer to China.
I get that. I’m asking why most likely China? And by the way
if we are to take it literally, it can’t point to China. In fact, it can’t literally point to any one nation.
No nation on the planet has a military even close to 200 million strong.
If we can say there was already ‘a famine of Biblical proportions’ in existence before COVID19 it seems to undermine the notion that COVID19 is causing or will cause ‘a famine of Biblical proportions’.
My point is not to argue what number of people starving would constitute Biblical proportions.
Okay but your original point was something along the lines of implying that COVID19 is causing large scale famine, no?
But, what would be more relevant is the rate of increase of people. Doubling the number in a single year would be quite out of the ordinary.
I’m not sure why you think a doubling is significant when millions have been put at risk of severe food shortage (where there previously wasn’t one) throughout history in very short periods of time due to various events such as
draughts and
locust swarms. And it’s a doubling in regions which
already had tens of millions put at risk in the span of a few months because of locust swarms which started in June of last year and drought which began in 2018 all well before COVID19. Of course it follows from global lockdown measures and recession that COVID19 would
worsen an existing problem.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019–20 ... nfestation
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018–20 ... ca_drought
And besides, the number hasn’t doubled,
yet. You are pointing to a
projected doubling in developing nations if governments do not act. At the very end of
the article you linked to Beasley said this...
“We are in this together. We can stop this becoming a widespread famine. But we need to act quickly and smartly.�
The reality is, sadly,
famines have been recorded throughout human history. I don’t say all that to downplay these famines. It’s a real bad problem we are facing.
Again, we are only in the beginning of this pandemic. There are far too many people expecting some sort of V-shaped recovery and we'll just bounce out of this. This is not going to happen.
You may be right, a “V� shaped recovery may no longer be a possibility. However, it’s still a little early into the recession to say that concretely.
The expectation and realization of what an economic recovery will look like, though, isn’t particularly relevant in the long run anyway. It’s mostly academic whether it ends up being a “V� or “L� or “W� or “U� shaped recovery. The salient issue is that the global economy does recover. History says it will, even if only eventually. History says economies expand, economies contract. Then, they expand again and so on. Of course, one might say this time it’s different, that we are in “unprecedented times� so that doesn’t apply. I would say, yeah but that’s what they said during the global recession and Financial Crises of 2008/2009. That crises was, in some respects, unprecedented as well. Every crises is by definition different. Every crises presents its own set of unique circumstances. It’s very easy, when you are smack dab in the middle of a crises, to lose perspective and think the world is ending.
If these are the last days, then so be it. It doesn’t change anything for us as Christians. The end times may be part of the Christian narrative but it’s not the Good News, so I see no point in running around declaring I think the end times are here. Nor will I get caught running with the
Chicken Little’s of the world who think they see the end. Gobbling up, perpetuating, and dwelling on the onslaught of bad news out there fueled by media more than happy to cover it. That’s not helpful in my opinion.
�Finally, brethren, whatever is true, whatever is honorable, whatever is right, whatever is pure, whatever is lovely, whatever is of good repute, if there is any excellence and if anything worthy of praise, dwell on these things.� – Philippians 4:8